Weekend Premier League Betting Preview and Tips
BestOfBets provides an informed preview of selected Premier League fixtures, focusing on form, market value and practical betting considerations for UK readers aged 18+. Please gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose.
After Liverpool’s 7-0 victory over Manchester United and a dramatic win for Arsenal in the title race last weekend, BestOfBets previews this weekend’s action and looks at three games worthy of your attention…
Leicester vs Chelsea, Saturday 11th March @ 3pm
Has the pressure finally lifted from Graham Potter’s shoulders? A morale-boosting Champions League victory over Borussia Dortmund was just the tonic for struggling Chelsea in midweek, after they finally notched three points in the Premier League last weekend against Leeds. They’re on the up.
Now Potter’s men head to the King Power Stadium to face a Leicester side who are certainly looking vulnerable. Can Kai Havertz start to become the consistent goalscorer Chelsea need up top? Can Raheem Sterling put together a run of form and fitness for the Stamford Bridge outfit?
They’re decent odds at Evens for the victory at Leicester, with the Foxes 14/5 and the draw 13/5.
Our tip: Chelsea win (Evens)
Crystal Palace vs Man City, Saturday 11th March @ 5.30pm
If there’s one team who can put another spanner in the works of Manchester City’s title charge, you feel it can be Crystal Palace.
Patrick Vieira’s side aren’t in scintillating form right now, but under the Saturday night lights at Selhurst Park, sitting deep and frustrating Man City, you feel they have a real chance of a result this weekend. City have only won five of their past 10 meetings with Palace since New Year’s Eve 2017. The Eagles have been a constant thorn in Pep Guardiola’s side and there’s no reason why they can’t sting them again.
The bookies are fairly confident of a City win at 2/5. And 8/1 is long odds, even for Vieira’s inconsistent side. But the draw at 4/1 is an appealing flutter if you want to back an underdog in this week’s Premier League schedule.
Our tip: Draw (4/1)
Manchester United vs Southampton, Sunday 12th March @ 2pm
Manchester United sent the perfect message to their post-Anfield critics with a 4-1 demoltion of Real Betis on Thursday night. But to truly shake off the demons of last week’s 7-0 defeat to Liverpool, they must get back to winning ways in the Premier League as well. A home game against a relegation-threatened Southampton seems like the perfect opportunity.
Saints have been slightly improved under the stewardship of Ruben Selles, with crucial 1-0 wins over Chelsea and Southampton of late, but they might just come up against a United team with something to prove. Just ask Bruno Fernandes.
The bookies clearly think Erik ten Hag’s men will bounce back, with United 1/3 to grab the three points on Sunday. Southampton are 8/1 and the draw is 4/1, but the money might be on United to win to nil, given Saints aren’t exactly prolific in front of goal.
Our tip: United to win to nil (13/10)
In-depth match analysis and betting market guide for weekend
This section expands on the three featured fixtures and highlights markets, form clues and sensible approaches for bettors in the UK.
Key form and injury considerations for bettors this weekend
Always review the latest team news before placing a bet, with special attention to suspensions, knocks and late fitness tests that can alter starting line-ups and tactical shape.
Short-term form can be misleading; differentiate between fixture congestion, cup priorities and true underlying performance using expected goals and recent opponent strength.
Where value lies in mainstream markets this weekend
Value often appears in match odds when public sentiment overreacts to a single result, for example following heavy defeats or surprise cup outcomes.
Look for divergence between bookmaker pricing and objective indicators such as home/away goals per game, shot ratios and defensive consistency.
How to use statistics and form to shape betting selections
Combine head-to-head trends, recent fixtures and home/away splits to form a rounded view; use small sample caution for rare events like set-piece dependency.
For the matches above, consider both expected goals trends and individual player metrics — attacking returns from set plays for Leicester or Sterling’s shot involvement for Chelsea.
Responsible betting rules and bankroll best practices explained
Set a betting budget and stake a consistent percentage of that bankroll on tips rather than chasing losses; this reduces emotional decision-making.
If betting causes stress or affects your finances, seek help and consider tools such as deposit limits, time-outs or self-exclusion provided by licensed operators.
Specific market tips: match result and correct score opportunities
For Leicester vs Chelsea, a straight Chelsea win is the headline option, but correct-score markets can show value where sharp pricing exists for narrow margins.
Match-winner stakes should be modest; treat correct-score punts as speculative with lower stake sizes due to higher variance.
Goals markets: over/under and both teams to score explained
Assess both teams’ recent defensive records and shot-creating opportunities to choose between over/under 2.5 goals and BTTS markets for each fixture.
Man City games often yield higher goal expectations, but Palace’s low-block approach can reduce that; check expected goals (xG) numbers where available.
Player-focused markets: scorers and assists outlook
Consider player minutes and role changes; a striker returning from injury may be priced for impact but could be eased in, affecting scorer markets.
Bruno Fernandes and Kai Havertz are examples of players whose involvement in advanced positions will materially affect anytime scorer odds.
Alternative markets: handicaps and half-time options to manage risk
Handicap markets allow backing stronger teams at adjusted odds and can provide better expected value when favourites are short-priced in 1X2 markets.
Half-time/full-time or both halves markets suit bettors who prefer defined exposures and lower volatility versus full-match speculative bets.
How to interpret bookmaker odds and find comparative value
Compare prices across reputable UK bookmakers to spot discrepancies and small edges; even modest price differences can be meaningful over time.
Check liquidity, limits and market depth; large stakes may move prices and some operators limit payouts on volatile markets.
Match-by-match practical notes for this weekend
Leicester vs Chelsea: Monitor Chelsea’s recent away record and Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities, prioritising consistent goal sources over single-match sentiment.
Crystal Palace vs Man City: Evaluate Palace’s counter-attacking threat and City rotation patterns in the days before kick-off; a draw is plausible if City rotate key creators.
Man United vs Southampton: United’s need to respond may increase attacking intent; consider win-to-nil markets if United’s defence looks restored in the team news.
Combining football insights with horse racing perspective
At BestOfBets we cover both football and horse racing because many bettors split stakes across sports; the same bankroll principles apply to both markets.
Horse racing offers different liquidity and volatility; use stakes proportional to confidence and be mindful that form can change quickly after a single run.
Bookmaker comparison, offers and choosing the right operator
Use a bookmaker comparison tool to view prices, welcome offers and terms; prioritise clear T&Cs, strong customer support and responsible gambling protections.
Promotional value depends on wagering requirements and market access, so read the fine print before using offers and only use affiliate links if you are comfortable with the provider.
Short checklist before placing any bet this weekend
Confirm team news, check weather and pitch reports, compare prices and set a maximum stake aligned to your bankroll plan.
Avoid staking more after losses and never treat betting as an income source; think of it as entertainment with a cost and risk.
You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly and are aged 18 or over.
For help with problem gambling in the UK, visit BeGambleAware.org or use the support tools provided by licensed operators.
Find our recommended bookmaker free bets and joining offers at BestOfBets free bets for new customers. You can also review casino bonus offers for new players at BestOfBets casino bonus.
How should I size stakes for Premier League bets?
Stake as a fixed percentage of your bankroll, commonly 1–3% for standard selections and lower for speculative bets.
What markets offer the best long-term value for football?
Consistent value often appears in handicap lines, player props and market discrepancies across bookmakers rather than short-priced favourites.
When is it sensible to back an underdog in the Premier League?
Back underdogs when objective indicators — injuries, fixture congestion, or statistical trends — support a higher win probability than the odds imply.
Can I use same-day team news effectively?
Yes; late team sheets and press updates can change market edges. Reserve small stakes for bets placed after late news to manage risk.
Are draw or win-to-nil markets worth considering regularly?
Draw markets can be valuable in low-scoring fixtures while win-to-nil suits favourites with a reliable defence; size stakes accordingly.
How do I manage multiple bets across football and racing?
Allocate separate bankroll slices per sport and avoid cross-sport chasing after losses; treat each market on its own merit and with disciplined stakes.
What responsible gambling steps should I take before betting?
Set deposit limits, staking caps and time-outs with your bookmaker, and seek help from BeGambleAware if betting causes harm.
Is it safe to use bookmaker promotions and affiliate links?
Yes if you read the terms and use licensed UK operators; promotions should not drive you to stake beyond your limits or chase losses.
