Brighton welcome Chelsea back to the Amex Stadium, after facing off in the FA Cup just 6 days ago. Chelsea will be looking for a more positive result after Brighton came back from 1-0 down to beat Maresca’s side 2-1. We have two sides going head to head here who have struggled defensively all season, with scoring goals of their own being much less of a concern. This sets this one up perfectly for goals at both ends.
Brighton have scored in 20/24 Premier League games this season, with two of the blanks coming consecutively going into this game. Their turnaround vs Chelsea at the weekend will certainly give the Seagulls confidence in avoiding a third straight game without a goal – Chelsea’s defensive vulnerabilities will give them opportunities tonight. Despite their ability to find the back of the net, Brighton have only kept 5 clean sheets in their 24 games. In fact, they’ve conceded in 15/16 previous Premier League games.
As for Chelsea, they have scored in 21/24 Premier League games this season. Cole Palmer continues to be the key in this Chelsea side, albeit Chelsea unlocking different avenues to scoring without Palmer this season, showing less of a reliance. Defensively, Chelsea have kept just 4 clean sheets in their 24 games, conceding in all of their previous 7.
It’s fair to say that Moises Caicedo will not be getting ‘welcomed’ back to the Amex tonight after his £100m move to Chelsea in 2023. Caicedo’s aggressive style of play always puts the Ecuadorian high in the foul and yellow card numbers. In fact, Caicedo has remarkably conceded 1+ foul in 23/24 league games this season and in 22 consecutive league games. He has seen 2+ fouls land in 17/24 games. In the reverse league game vs Brighton he recorded 4 fouls and got booked vs his old side last weekend.
TIP: Both Teams to Score & Caicedo 2+ Fouls @ 2.05
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