Don’t be misled by the title! We are hunting for value in the Badger Beers Handicap Chase at Wincanton. Plus, there’s the Grand Sefton over the National fences at Aintree and the dying lights of the flat turf at Doncaster with the November handicap.
Wincanton
Boom Bet
2:23 – Rising Stars Novices’ Chase (Grade Two) – Boombawn @ 6/1 (William Hill, BetVictor)
Despite being run at Paul Nicholl’s local track, Boombawn offered much more last time out at Chepstow, Running against the Nicholls’ trained Insurrection, Boombawn looked to travel on strongly after the last. Insurrection looked to offer little, but Boombawn hunted down his rival but denied by a neck in the closing stages. Dan Skelton is in electric form and can’t see any negatives, for this horse.
The Nicholls’ King
3:30 – 63rd Badger Beers Handicap (Premier H’cap) – Mofasa @ 11/2 (William Hill)
It may look a depleted field for Wincanton’s biggest race, but I’ve been hunting some potential value in the race. And Mofasa looks a great bet. For Nicholls, who has won this race four times in the past ten, he’s back on a winning mark. He won a novice handicap chase off 130, and a three-pound drop sems more than enough for a horse who never shows his true potential until early on in a season.
There’s also worth a watch on Remastered, the former Coral Gold Cup runner-up. Now 11, he won over three and a quarter miles last time out on this track, on good ground, which proves he has a winning desire. He’s only a pound lower than a previous winning mark but expect him to go hunting the field. A definite chance, in a low-class field, 10/1 (William Hill).
Aintree
Frero Rocher!
2:40 – Boylesports Grand Sefton H’cap Chase – Frero Banbou @ 13/2 (William Hill)
Despite Venetia Williams’ horses preferring soft ground, Frero Banbou has proven a liking for better ground. But crucially, he is three pounds lower than when placing third in last year’s contest. With experience of the ferocious National fences, and good early season record, Frero Banbou will make a good account of himself.
Surprisingly, Vintage Fizz makes appeal in this contest. He’s a two-and-a-half-mile specialist, albeit at low level. He came close in the Summer, plus last time out when less than four lengths behind the winner, finishing fourth, at Wetherby. He’s down to a competitive mark and will easily deal with the ground. It will be interesting to see how he copes now in a higher grade. 33/1 (General).
Doncaster
November Hunting
3:45 – November Handicap – Valvano @ 13/2 (William Hill)
The final big flat handicap of the season sees the end of the turf season around the country. And Valvano can finish it off with a bang. He remains relatively unexposed and steps up in trip to a mile-and-a-half. The other positive is the winner of his handicap at York, Bolster, went and won a Listed race at Newmarket which boosts his form. Plus, his trainer is operating at 34%, a terrific strike rate at the close of season.
An amazing fact, Stressfree hasn’t finished outside of the top three in his past seven runs. An incredible record and has shown a liking for soft ground on the way too. He’s been raised a total of 10 pounds in his past six runs, which means he has progressed at a steady rate for David O’Meara. He finished ahead of Valvano then third over at this course two weeks ago. Definite claims at 9/1 (William Hill).
Lord Melbourne may be a bit of an outside chance in this race, but with the in form conditional Jack Doughty, he’s now two pounds lower than his previous wining mark. He, too, finished behind Bolster at Epsom at the end of May. He then progressed from there on in and can offer almost a second choice for Ralph Beckett in the November handicap. 16/1 (General).