Masters 2024 preview: form, value bets and angles

The Masters at Augusta remains one of the most market-moving majors each season and offers a wide range of betting angles to explore for thoughtful punters. This preview expands on the main storylines, market opportunities and course details that complement our existing Masters coverage.

Betting analysis, key stats and market opportunities

Bookmakers set prices using form, course history and statistical profiles, so understanding which metrics matter at Augusta can highlight where value exists. We explain which stats to prioritise, how each-way terms change the maths and where smarter, evidence-led wagers can be placed.

Why Scheffler is favourite and key stats to check

Scottie Scheffler arrives as the clear market favourite because he combines elite scoring average, approach play and GIR numbers that map directly to Augusta’s demands. Punters should compare his recent stroke averages with his historic Augusta finishes and note conversion rates in final rounds rather than assuming dominance guarantees a win.

Outsiders to watch: Conners, McCarthy and Niemann

Each-way opportunities often lie with golfers whose statistical profile fits Augusta but who are overlooked by the market; Conners and McCarthy fit that template through strong green-finding and scrambling respectively. Joaquin Niemann’s recent wins and improving Augusta finishes also make him a live outsider where place terms are generous.

Rahm and LIV exiles: form and major prospects

Jon Rahm’s status as defending champion contrasts with a less convincing lead-in form, so his price reflects potential upside tempered by recent results after joining LIV. Assessing LIV players such as Rahm, Koepka and Johnson requires balancing historical major form with current tour rhythm and travel demands.

Xander Schauffele and Wyndham Clark: genuine threats

Xander Schauffele’s consistency around Augusta and Wyndham Clark’s current major form present two clear alternatives to the favourite where odds reflect nuanced risk-reward. Comparing their scoring and short-game metrics to Scheffler helps identify where the bookies may have mispriced outright or each-way possibilities.

Tiger Woods at Augusta: making the cut and history

Tiger’s presence alters media narratives and public betting volumes even when he plays sparingly during a season, so market movement can be more pronounced than underlying form suggests. Considering a market such as “to make the cut” requires realistic stake sizing and an awareness of the unique spectacle he brings without implying a predictable outcome.

Course characteristics that shape Masters strategies

Augusta’s emphasis on precise approaches, uphill putts and recovery short-game shots means stats like proximity to hole from approach and scrambling should outrank simple driving distance. Analysing who ranks highly for these metrics on the PGA Tour this season helps narrow value bets for both outrights and prop markets.

Key holes to target for birdie and par scoring

Holes 11 to 13 and the closing sequence at 15 to 18 each present distinct scoring windows and risk-reward choices that affect tournament flow and betting lines. Identifying players who historically score well on the Amen Corner or who finish strongly on the back nine can inform match bets and round-by-round strategies.

Putting and short game: Augusta’s defining margins

Putting up and down from around the green is often the difference between a top 10 and a missed cut at Augusta, so strong short-game metrics are a core filter for value bets. Look beyond raw birdie numbers to measures such as scrambling percentage and strokes gained around the green when selecting outrights.

Choosing the right each-way terms and book offers

Each-way value is highly conditional on the number of places paid and the fraction of the odds, so always check individual bookmaker terms before staking. A longer price with generous place terms can be preferable to a slightly shorter favourite where place coverage is limited.

Weather, pin placements and the tee time factor

Wind, rain and morning frost can change the tournament narrative quickly which means early and late starters face different scoring prospects across the four days. When assessing pre-tournament prices, consider how weather forecasts and tee times interact with a player’s preferred conditions.

Using form, stats and course fit to find value

Combining recent form with specific Augusta-fit statistics—approach proximity, GIR and scrambling—creates a more reliable selection process than leaning on headline form alone. Cross-referencing past Augusta finishes with current statistical trends reduces the chance of backing players whose form does not translate to this layout.

Market opportunities: each-way value and place terms

Bookmakers differ markedly on how many places they pay in major markets, so choosing a bookmaker with favorable each-way terms is a concrete way to extract value. Comparing odds across several operators and factoring in place terms should be part of any disciplined pre-tournament routine.

In-play options and tournament long market approaches

Live markets open up once the first round concludes and winners emerge, allowing sharper punters to exploit form shifts and leaderboard momentum without committing to four-round volatility. In-play strategies require tight staking, a clear exit plan and awareness that prices can swing quickly after a single hole.

In-play options and tournament long market approaches

Favour selecting markets where you can quantify edge, such as top-10 or head-to-head matchups, rather than chasing headline favourites under emotional pressure. Keep stakes modest for in-play trades and be prepared to accept smaller wins as part of a consistent plan.

Betting bankroll tips and responsible staking plans

Maintain a dedicated betting bankroll and use fixed percentage staking to protect capital through the volatility that majors create in the markets. Responsible staking safeguards enjoyment and limits emotional decisions; betting should never be treated as an income strategy or a way to solve financial problems.

Responsible gambling reminders and age restriction notice

This content is for readers aged 18+ only and betting should be undertaken responsibly at all times. If you feel your gambling is becoming a problem, seek help and set limits; support services and tools from licensed operators can assist with safer play.

How to compare bookmaker odds and promotions safely

When comparing bookmakers, check both price and the precise promotional terms, including turnover requirements and eligible markets, to understand true value. Using a comparison tool helps identify consistent value while reminding you to prioritise licensed, regulated operators for protection.

Final thoughts: how to approach Masters wagering this year

Approach the Masters with a plan that prioritises fit to course, recent statistics and realistic staking rather than emotion-driven picks or chasing celebrity narratives. Explore multiple markets, compare each-way terms and keep stakes proportionate to your bankroll and enjoyment of the game.

You can explore current bookmaker offers and compare free bets responsibly on our free bets page: BestOfBets free bets and bookmaker comparisons. For readers also interested in casino bonus offers, see our dedicated page for current sign-up bonuses: BestOfBets casino bonus offers.

Frequently asked questions about Masters betting and markets

Is it safe to bet on the Masters if I am under 18?

No. Betting is strictly 18+ in the UK and you must not gamble if you are underage. Always use licensed operators and verify your age before placing any wager.

Which stats matter most when backing a Masters contender?

Prioritise greens in regulation, proximity to hole from approach and scrambling percentage as they align most closely with Augusta’s demands. Recent scoring form is useful but should be combined with these course-specific measures.

Are each-way bets a sensible approach at the Masters?

Each-way bets can be sensible when place terms are generous and a player’s profile suits Augusta, but always compare bookmaker place terms before placing a wager. Staking should reflect the lower probability of outrights at majors.

Can LIV players be treated the same as PGA players in betting markets?

LIV players who return to the majors bring proven major form, but assess current tour rhythm, travel and recent competitive results when pricing their chances. Treat each player on merit rather than by league affiliation alone.

How should I size stakes for tournament and in-play bets?

Use a fixed-percentage staking plan based on a dedicated betting bankroll and avoid increasing stakes after losses. In-play bets should be smaller and entered with a clear exit strategy.

What should I do if betting stops being enjoyable or I lose control?

If gambling ceases to be fun or you feel out of control, pause betting and seek help; many operators provide deposit limits, cooling-off periods and self-exclusion options. Contact local support services for confidential assistance.

Where can I compare bookmaker odds and offers for the Masters?

Compare odds across licensed UK bookmakers and check the exact terms of free bets and promotions before using them. Our free bets comparison page lists current offers and is designed to help you make informed, responsible choices.

Do you accept affiliate links and how does that affect content?

We may include affiliate links to bookmakers and casino partners; these are clearly identified and do not affect our editorial independence. Our aim is to provide unbiased analysis and tools to compare offers responsibly for readers aged 18+.