What better way to kick off 2024 than some New Year’s Day Racing across the likes of Cheltenham, Fairyhouse, and Tramore?
As many will know, Cheltenham is a local track of mine and as such, I’ll be attending Monday’s meeting, but horses are running in both the UK and Ireland that I’m keen to keep onside.
So, for the first column in 2024, here are my full fancies.
Win Bets
12:30 Tramore – Belle The Lioness @ 4/1
Anyone who took note of my pre-Cheltenham Festival chat around the Grade 2 Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle will know my love for Belle The Lioness.
She didn’t live up to my hype when it came to March, but with a summer on her back and race fitness on her side, I’m backing her to return to the winners’ enclosure on her handicap debut.
The seven-year-old first came onto my radar after her staying-on second to Liberty Dance, a 131-rated mare, at Thurles in December. The Model Kingdom was back in third, who is also rated in the 130s, and she managed to get relatively near Impaire Et Passe on her next start at Punchestown.
Easy as you like for Liberty Dance in the Listed Billy Harney Memorial @IrishEBF_ Mares Novice Hurdle, with the five-year-old justifying favouritism in good style in the hands of @_Davy_Russel_ for trainer @gelliott_racing 🏆 pic.twitter.com/87C4ysrwyC
— Thurles Racecourse (@thurlesraces) December 18, 2022
Although she was disappointing at Wexford in November, her run suggests that she either badly needed it or hated the ground. With form on soft to heavy from her bumper victory in April 2022, one would suggest that it was her lack of race fitness that contributed to her defeat.
Hopefully, Henry de Bromhead has her back because off a mark of 119, I think she could be well-handicapped.
2:10 Exeter – Geezer Rockstar @ 7/4
Over at Exeter, another horse who I’ve been excited to see this season is Geezer Rockstar and he is set to make his second start over hurdles.
Harry Fry’s five-year-old was slightly disappointing on hurdles debut at Taunton last-time-out, but I’m not willing to give up on him based on what he showed at Taunton in a bumper in April.
Geezer Rockstar 🎸 wins impressively on debut @TauntonRacing for @HarryFryRacing1 and owners Doubtfire, Haring, Thornton & Davies
The 4yo by Getaway (@coolmorestud) was sold by @LKFBloodstock to Kevin Ross Bloodstock at #GoffsArkle 💫#TheNewBest pic.twitter.com/cMU4RU2mBz
— Goffs (@Goffs1866) April 13, 2023
Furthermore, the opposition at Exeter doesn’t look the strongest; Pentire Head is probably his best rival based on his second to Johnnywho at Taunton in March, but he is still a work in progress and will likely be better next season.
With this in mind, Geezer Rockstar deserves respect and has plenty of scope to return to the winners’ enclosure.
3:50 Cheltenham – La Marquise @ 5/2
In the last at Cheltenham, La Marquise impressed immensely on her first start at Stratford in early November.
Having spoken to Jamie Snowden prior to her first run, he was hoping for a good run though she was always going to come on for her debut outing.
Impressive debut from La Marquise, the half-sister to Willie Mullins' Mister Policeman.
She's had to do that the hard way from the front under @GavinSheehan92.
Relatively cosy at the end as well, suggesting she has plenty more to come.@jamiesnowden pic.twitter.com/nlBf3abluj https://t.co/v4mr9CoNxU
— Ash Symonds Journalism (@ASymondsJourno) November 2, 2023
She certainly did produce a “good run” as the four-year-old by Beaumec De Houelle, a first-season sire who beat Pic D’Orhy in the Grade 1 Prix Cambaceres in 2018, quickened away nicely on soft ground to win by two lengths. Gavin Sheehan only required one use of the whip at Stratford, so there should be more to come.
Both the second, Love Tree, and the fifth, Dameofthecotswolds, have won since, so hopefully La Marquise can oblige in receipt of weight from the boys.
Each-way Bets
1:20 Catterick – Chase A Fortune @ 12/1
Small fields have made each-way options difficult at Cheltenham, though there’s a chance that Chase A Fortune could be well-handicapped over at Catterick.
The Chris Grant-trained six-year-old has underperformed in handicap company this season which has been slightly surprising based on his 15-length maiden hurdle success over course and distance in February.
🗣️ Great to see Chris Grant back in the winner's enclosure at @CatterickRaces.
Chase A Fortune is his first winner this season, with 15 of his 72 runners since April finishing second. 😮 pic.twitter.com/LXRv9QwnNy
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) February 28, 2023
Looking at his previous form in novice hurdles, the Cannock Chase gelding was racing against eventual 120-rated horses like Chapel Green, Don Hollow, and Astromachia.
Since then, the handicapper has dropped him to a mark of 105 and with his previous form on soft ground, today could see him return to his best.
2:40 Cheltenham – My Bobby Dazzler @ 12/1
In a race full of questions – namely, if a few improving horses can handle a rise in the weights – it looks as if My Boby Dazzler could do some damage off a handy mark of 119.
Mel Rowley’s nine-year-old has a fair record around Prestbury Park based on his two fourth-place efforts in the 2021-22 season.
Although he has promising form on good ground, namely when behind The Changing Man and Young Butler in a valuable handicap at Haydock in April, he bolted up on deplorable ground in December 2021 off a mark of 118.
⭐️ Mel Rowley has a nice team of horses & My Bobby Dazzler opens his account at the third time of asking under Rules under @AEdwards90 at @AintreeRaces
Results & free replays ➡ https://t.co/sBcsavHpYf pic.twitter.com/MFiNtBVi2k
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) May 14, 2021
Connections tried their hand at fences with My Bobby Dazzler and he did well to win at Worcester in June before a good fourth at Ludlow on his last start, though the Malinas gelding is back over hurdles which should suit him.
His last few runs have suggested the old spark is still there and if that is the case, today could be a good day to keep the faith.
New Year’s Day Racing Tips for Cheltenham and Ireland
Form, Handicaps and Conditions to Watch Today
This short guide expands on the selections above with practical angles to consider when assessing New Year’s Day cards at Cheltenham, Tramore, Exeter and Catterick. The aim is to provide context on form, ground, fitness and market signals so you can read the races with greater clarity.
Gambling is for adults only (18+). If you choose to bet, please do so responsibly and within your limits; our content is informational and not a promise of returns.
Why Belle The Lioness Appeals for Handicap Debut
Belle The Lioness has shown she stays and can compete with strongly-rated mares, which is valuable when stepping into handicap company. A summer break, a clear run at Thurles and a 119 mark suggest she could be underrated by the handicapper if fitness and ground come right.
Assessing Ground, Distance and Race Fitness Levels
Soft to heavy form from her bumper and staying-on finishes are worth noting when testing conditions look likely to be in her favour. When reviewing recent runs, look for signs of a strong late gallop and positive sectional splits that indicate stamina reserves.
Traits That Make Geezer Rockstar a Solid Pick
Geezer Rockstar’s bumper ability and a promising first hurdles run mark him out as a horse with scope to improve as a juvenile hurdler. Harry Fry has a strong record with progressive types at Exeter, and a lightly raced five-year-old often improves markedly second time up over hurdles.
Trainer Trends, Jockey Clauses and Recent Form Lines
Track trainers’ strike-rates with second-season hurdlers and any jockey bookings should influence confidence levels; stable form often gives a clearer guide than raw price alone. Check for any reported wind changes, work reports, or schooling notes which can materially affect prospects.
Cheltenham Finale: La Marquise and Course Form
La Marquise looked a smart prospect at Stratford and a Cheltenham finale offers a stiff test that usually rewards sound jumping and an ability to handle undulations. With softer ground likely, assess whether her Stratford win is a genuine pointer for step up in grade and trip.
How to Use Bookmaker Offers and Comparison Tools Safely
You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly and within your budget. Offers are useful for value but should never dictate stake size or replace assessment of form and race conditions.
Each-way Prospects: Chase A Fortune and My Bobby Dazzler
Both Chase A Fortune and My Bobby Dazzler present each-way appeal on form lines that suggest they may be well treated on particular ground or when returning to hurdles. Each-way betting can be a sensible way to back longer-priced runners in open handicaps where several could place.
Practical Each-way Strategy and Market Interpretation
When considering each-way options, focus on horses that have shown course form or a clear affinity for the prevailing ground. Monitor early market moves for value and use place terms and your bookmaker comparison to find the best available price without chasing odds.
Race-day Tips: Reading the Market and Planning Stakes
Early market ticks often reflect insider confidence from connections and can be informative ahead of final declarations. Plan your stakes relative to your bankroll and treat each selection as a speculative opinion rather than a certainty.
If you follow tips, set a staking plan and resist increasing stakes after losses; responsible gambling practice protects enjoyment and long-term engagement with the sport.
Watching for Late News and Final Declarations
Check official declarations, non-runners and ground reports close to post time as these can change the race dynamic significantly. Late jockey switches, confirmed heavy rain or a notable withdrawal from the favourite can all shift the value equation quickly.
For settled research, use the morning-line and pre-race preview to compare your view with market sentiment and form trends before committing to a bet.
Frequently Asked Questions on New Year Racing Tips
Can these New Year tips help shape my selections?
Yes, the notes above are intended to give context on form and conditions so you can refine your own selections. Use them as part of a wider view that includes markets and final declarations.
Should I always back the favourite at Cheltenham on soft ground?
No, Cheltenham often exposes horses that prefer quicker ground; examine each horse’s history on soft or heavy surfaces before backing the favourite. Consider alternatives where recent runs show clear soft-ground form.
How important is trainer form when backing second-time hurdlers?
Trainer form is highly relevant; some stables excel with improving hurdlers and have a consistent record of progression from debut to second start. Combine trainer trends with the horse’s profile for a fuller picture.
Are each-way bets a sensible approach on New Year cards?
Each-way bets can be sensible in competitive handicaps or where larger fields increase the chance of a place payout. Always check place terms and back only when the value justifies the stake within your budget.
Where can I compare bookmaker prices and offers for these races?
Use reputable bookmaker comparison tools to compare odds and promotional terms across firms; this helps find the best price and place terms responsibly. Remember comparisons are informational and do not replace form study.
What responsible gambling steps should I follow before placing a bet?
Set a budget, stick to a staking plan, never chase losses and use self-exclusion or deposit limits if needed. Gambling is for 18+ only and should be treated as entertainment, not a way to make money.
Will seeing the selections guarantee a profit?
No selection or tip guarantees a profit; racing is unpredictable and outcomes can be affected by many variables. Treat tips as informed opinions and manage stakes accordingly.
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