Eintracht Frankfurt will face off against VfB Stuttgart in what promises to be a thrilling Bundesliga encounter with plenty of goals expected. The last time these two teams met in the league Frankfurt came out on top with a 3-2 victory in November. Given the attacking form of both sides this season, fans can expect another high-scoring game. Based on this trend and current statistical research I’m tipping Over 2.5 Goals and Both Teams to Score at 1.72.
Over 2.5 Goals
Frankfurt’s recent matches have all been high-scoring affairs with over 2.5 goals scored in each of their last five games. Stuttgart’s goal stats have been similar with four of their last five games having featured over 2.5 goals. This makes the upcoming clash an excellent opportunity for another goal-filled game.
Looking at the season as a whole, Frankfurt have seen over 2.5 goals in 69% of their matches while Stuttgart have done so in 73%. Both teams are among the top five Bundesliga clubs in this statistic, with Holstein Kiel leading with 77%. Additionally, four of the last five meetings between these two sides have ended with over 2.5 goals scored, further supporting the likelihood of a similar outcome this time around.
When it comes to Expected Goals (xG), Frankfurt have an average of 1.68 expected goals per game, but they’ve been outperforming that metric, averaging 2.08 goals per game. Stuttgart have also been more prolific than their xG suggests, scoring 1.81 goals per game. Both teams have shown a tendency to score more than expected but they’ve also been leaking goals, with each side conceding more than 1.5 goals per match this season.
Both Teams to Score
The trend of both teams scoring is also strong heading into this game. Eight of the last 10 matches involving Frankfurt have seen both teams score, a statistic shared by Stuttgart in their last ten games as well. This corresponds to a 73% rate for both teams in terms of games where both teams have found the back of the net this season. Additionally, eight of the last ten head-to-head matches between these two teams have ended with both sides scoring further reinforcing the expectation of an exciting, end-to-end contest.
Defensively, both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets. Frankfurt have managed to keep only five clean sheets this season representing just 19% of their games, while Stuttgart have managed to keep a clean sheet in only four of their matches. This suggests that both teams are vulnerable at the back and both will likely find the net in this encounter.
Head-to-Head: A Crucial Clash in the Bundesliga
As it stands, Frankfurt are in 4th place in the Bundesliga with 45 points and are pushing to secure a spot in next season’s UEFA Champions League. Stuttgart, sitting in 10th place, are just eight points behind Frankfurt, meaning this is a crucial game for the away side. A victory for Stuttgart could significantly close the gap and improve their chances of qualifying for European competitions next season.
This match up is set to be a thrilling contest between two sides known for their attacking prowess and defensive vulnerabilities. With Frankfurt eager to solidify their Champions League ambitions and Stuttgart keen to climb the table, we should expect to see goals on Saturday.
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