Monday Night football returns with a Premier League Clash between two rivals in the league.
BET BUILDER for the game:
home team double chance & under 20.5 team shots @ 1.86
My analysis
Fulham have kept just two clean sheets in their last 18 matches in all competitions, with those coming at home against Spurs and away at lowly Leicester City. Both teams scored in 12 of those matches while at least three goals were tallied.
The combination of those two items has also occurred in each of Bournemouth’s last five matches in all competitions, as the Cherries have been struggling to get results. Bournemouth haven’t won a single match in regulation in their last eight fixtures, drawing three times.
In fact, only once in their last seven matches — a 1-1 draw with Wolves in the FA Cup that eventually went to penalty kicks — have Bournemouth been involved in a match that failed to see three goals scored. This is largely down to how they play, posing a real threat on the counter-attack while being leaky in defense.
But it’s not just the results that have me backing this combination play to once again hit on Monday. Rather, it’s the underlying metrics and how these teams match up. Both clubs allow at least four shots on goal per match, with opponents putting better than 35% of their efforts on target.
Bournemouth also do a terrific job of creating mistakes with their pressure, with 87 tackles in the final third, ranking them sixth. Their 42 shots off opponent errors are the most in the Premier League, while Fulham sit ninth in the league with 25 shots allowed from errors.
Bournemouth and Fulham have played five times since the 2022-23 Premier League season started. All five matches have seen at least three goals, and only once has either team failed to score.
They drew 2-2 in December at Craven Cottage, and they’ll once again entertain us while cashing our best bet in the rematch.
Bournemouth have lost their last four home matches in the Premier League, and their last three home fixtures in all competitions have seen them suffer identical 2-1 defeats.
Fulham haven’t been consistent, but they’re the better side dealing with fewer injuries. The Cottagers still have a shot at European football next season, and will get the result.
Only five clubs in the league have earned more corners than the Cherries this season, and they earned seven corners in the reverse fixture while Fulham earned just one.
Bournemouth have taken more corners than every other opponent in their last seven matches aside from Manchester City, as their high pressing leads to odd man rushes that tend to get blocked out for them.
