Aston Villa host PSG at Villa Park in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League quarter-final on Tuesday night after PSG’s 3-1 advantage from the first leg. Unai Emery’s side remain unbeaten at home in Europe this season with impressive results against the likes of Bayern Munich and Juventus, keeping hope alive for a dramatic comeback at Villa Park.
I’ve found a great tip for this clash: Youri Tielemans to commit 1+ foul, Ousmane Dembele to register 1+ shots on target, and Desire Doue to have 1+ shot— all combined at 1.75. It’s a great selection, well backed by stats below.
Tielemans For A Reliable Foul
Tielemans has proven this season to be a popular selection in the fouls market. He has committed at least one foul in 32 of his last 43 games across the Champions League and Premier League. In this season’s Champions League alone, he has fouled opponents in seven of his 11 matches. Domestically, he has committed at least one foul in 14 of his last 15 Premier League appearances.
Given PSG’s technical quality in midfield, particularly from players like Vitinha and Fabian Ruiz, Tielemans should be drawn into at least one tactical or misplaced tackle.
Dembele’s Threat Away From Home
Ousmane Dembele has had a very strong European campaign this season with seven goals in 11 Champions League games. His directness and flair make him a constant attacking threat, particularly away from home.
Statistically, Dembele has registered a shot on target in 15 of his last 17 away games in the Champions League and Ligue 1. In Europe, he has recorded at least two shots on target in all of his away matches and has an overall average of 1.63 shots on target per game. With Aston Villa needing to push forward, Dembele’s counter-attacking role becomes likely in helping this tip win.
Doue – PSG’s Rising Star
Desire Doue has introduced himself to the world stage over the last few months and even scored a stunning long-range goal in the first leg last week, a game in which he had six shots towards Aston Villa keeper, Emi Martinez. He has also had at least one shot in 15 of his last 17 matches across the Champions League and Ligue 1 and he’s registered a minimum of one attempt in eight of his last nine Champions League outings. His Ligue 1 form is equally impressive, a shot in each of his last 15 league games, with five goals within that time.
This could be one of the greatest nights at Villa Park if the hosts comeback from behind to beat this PSG side with such quality. It’s a great game for the neutral as we expect plenty of chances and fouls all over the pitch.
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