Tag: favourites

  • Qatar Goodwood Festival 2023: The favourites

     

    Royal Ascot, done. July Festival, in the books. It’s time for Glorious Goodwood!

    As flat season enters August, hot on the heels of an all-time classic King George VI renewal at Ascot, this week, West Sussex gets its turn in the spotlight.

    With five days of action and 37 races on the card, three Group 1 contests are on the slate.

    But just where will the money be this week?

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    Brit Courage – 5/2 Betfred

    In the opening day’s main event, the Al Shaqab Goodwood Cup takes the spotlight and Courage Mon Ami is the bookies’ favourite.

    But only just.

    Now unbeaten in four, the 4yo gelding sprung a relative upset to win the Ascot Gold Cup at 15/2, edging Coltrane by just under a length.

    The latter was fourth in this contest last year – behind the still absent Kyprios – and the duo lock horns once more over the shorter trip.

    Perhaps the only slight caveat this week for the mount of Frankie Dettori lies in this summer’s unpredictable weather.

    Ascot’s turf this past weekend had a little more juice in it, but was still close to good to soft and will likely be for the off on Tuesday.

    Courage Mon Ami’s two wins since gelding have both been on firmer ground – including at Goodwood in May.

    In conclusion, Coltrane and potentially Eldar Eldarov could push, but this contender should have enough courage, my friend.

     

    Perfect Paddington – 8/15 William Hill

    Never mind marmalade sandwiches, it’s been caviar on a plate from the magical Paddington.

    The 3yo goes for an astonishing seventh win in-a-row in Wednesday’s Sussex Stakes.

    Unbeaten since an Ascot debut last September, Aidan O’Brien’s colt has become the toast of Ballymore.

    Such is the calibre of the son of Siyouni, Paddington is no one-trick pony; he’s won in all conditions.

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    His last outing on the softer turf saw victory in the Coolmore at the Curragh at the start of May, and though amongst stronger company looks the overwhelming favourite.

    Indeed, perhaps only Inspiral – Frankie’s other main hope this week – could hold a candle.

    The only question now is, just when might his winning streak end?

    At 2/5, that is unlikely to be this week; Paddington is poised to make it super seven.

     

    GNashing of teeth – 2/1 BoyleSports

    Moving on, Nashwa then looks to become the first horse since Midday to defend the Nassau Stakes.

    Storming back to victory in last month’s Falmouth Stakes, Hollie Doyle rode the filly’s first win since that last trip to Goodwood 12 months back.

    Fending off Richard Hannon’s whopping 40/1 shot Aristia, rain might be a slight concern for John and Thady Gosden.

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    However, Nashwa still has a decent record in said conditions, with a win in France last summer.

    The youngster’s main challenge looks to come from the unbeaten-in-five Blue Rose Cen.

    It is worth considering though, having not run since late June, all five wins for the Irish girl have been on French soil.

    And, with the bit between her teeth, we’re anticipating another gutsy outing from Nashwa.

     

    Prancing Princess – 11/8 William Hill

    As we complete our look at the big names, is this finally the week Highfield Princess re-asserts her authority?

    Lining up in the King George Qatar Stakes, the Yorkshire-based French wonder is yet to win this season, but the effort is there.

    Putting on a much-improved showing in this year’s Jubilee Stakes, the Princess was nonetheless forced to watch Khaadem romp to a stunning victory.

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    Before that, runners-up in the Kings Stand and the Clipper Stakes at York have come this season but so far, the pieces have not quite fallen.

    That could be about to change at Goodwood.

    Having been third in the 2021 Whispering Oak, her last win came on the soft at the Curragh last September.

    Over the same 5f trip, Highfield Princess is currently a full 7pts up in the markets over her rivals.

    Following on from a decent weekend at Ascot for Jason Hart, this will surely be the return to winning ways for this glorious mare.

  • Cheltenham 2023: BestofBets’ festival favourites

    Cheltenham 2023: BestofBets’ festival favourites

    The Cheltenham Festival. One of the big betting weeks of the year across the British Isles and many miles farther afield.

    As the cream of the National Hunt scene assemble once more in Gloucestershire, 28 races across four days lie ahead.

    This year’s edition on paper, has more arguably more open races but there will of course always be the favourites.

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    That tag on many occasions – particularly at Cheltenham – has often led to thousands of betslips being shredded in ire.

    This is sports betting, after all.

    But of the races on the slate, just where is the big money for Cheltenham 2023?

    We’ve highlighted one from each day of the festival.

    Tuesday, 3:30, Unibet Champion Hurdle (Grade 1, 4yo+, 2m½f)

    Where else can we begin than with Constitution Hill.

    Though not undefeated after a debut loss, everything to follow has been molded to gold for the British gelding.

    Not yet at the two-year point of his career, the 6yo has destroyed the competition in his last five contests by over 10 lengths.

    Romping to last year’s Supreme by 22 lengths, Constitution Hill and Nico De Boinville are unbeaten since December 2021.

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    Taking down Epatante twice in-a-row, the French mare is back for another crack, however, State Man appears the biggest threat.

    The overwhelming Champion Hurdle favourite, Constitution Hill could be pushed after Willie Mullins’ horse won the Irish equivalent last time out.

    Beating both Vauban and Honeysuckle at Leopardstown, State Man was a Cheltenham debut winner last year also in the County Hurdle.

    Mullins might yet believe he is in the fight but from a betting point of view, Constitution Hill is a sure thing.

    The biggest of favourites at 1/3, now available at evens with William Hill’s Epic Value offer.

    Wednesday, 4:10, Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase, (Grade 2, 5yo+, 3m6f)

    Of the four days, picking Wednesday’s favourite banker is the hardest, but Delta Work appears the best shot.

    Having taken the baton from mighty stablemate Tiger Roll in last year’s epic face-off up the hill, the now 10yo spearheads Gordon Elliott’s charge.

    Third in the Grand National as a follow-up act last spring, a narrow win then came at Punchestown back in November.

    His last outing at Cheltenham however, was far from a shining example of his ability.

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    Nor was finishing sixth at Navan last time out to eventual winner and now Stayers’ Hurdle pick, Blazing Khal.

    Delta Work has a chance of revenge here however, in a race he knows how to outlast the field in.

    With the predicted softer going after this week’s deluge, it looks the sensible bet.

    The most interesting narrative on hand, Davy Russell – a two-time National winner with Tiger Roll in the same colours – jumps on board here.

    A contest that has suited his elder custodians in the past, Delta Work is still a decent 11/10 with William Hill.

    Thursday, 2:50, Ryanair Chase (Grade 1, 5yo+, 2m4½f)

    How sweet it is to see Shishkin back in racing colours and seemingly at his best.

    Like last year before the Champion Chase, the son of Sholokhov will go off as favourite to take his festival tally to three wins.

    But will 2023 see redemption?

    A former winner of the Supreme and the Arkle, Shishkin feels like a Cheltenham veteran but has much to prove in the Ryanair Chase.

    Pulled up 12 months back, Shishkin failed to travel and was left rather sore.

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    Rather worse off in coming third in his first outing this season, the Tingle Creek, Shishkin sustained a kick before the race at Sandown.

    Forced to undergo wind surgery, he then roared back with a 16-length romp in the Ascot Chase only weeks ago.

    Leaving his many fans dreaming again, Blue Lord will be a tough opponent, but Shishkin looks a good bet for another Cheltenham win.

    A fairly heavy favourite at 4/5 with Betfred.

    Friday, 3:30, Boodles Cheltenham Gold Cup (Grade 1, 5yo+, 3m2½f)

    And so to the big one. The main event of the week.

    Galopin Des Champs is the favourite in the markets by some way and surely Gold Cup winner-in-waiting.

    It feels like destiny is waiting to send the French 7yo home.

    Memories of his fall at the final fence on St. Patrick’s Day last year are still fresh in the mind for punters.

    Then looking for a fifth win on the bounce in the 2022 Turners’, mount Paul Townend led Rachael Blackmore up the hill by some 12 lengths.

    With victory almost assured, Galopin Des Champs then inexplicably stumbled and fell leaving Cheltenham stunned.

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    Almost apologetically, Bob Olinger then cantered to the winning post almost unchallenged.

    Lesser horses may have been mentally scarred by such a loss, so how did this gelding respond?

    Winning the Novice Gold Cup Chase at Fairyhouse, of course.

    Then this season, the Punchestown Chase; and more recently the Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown.

    All is in place for one more Gold Cup to be added – and on St Patrick’s Day no less.

    With a winning margin by at least 8 lengths in every race since, cynics might say only a fall could deny him again.

    There is huge goodwill for Galopin Des Champs and at 15/8 with Hills’, there is also ample value.