This game will be dubbed as a relegation battle as both teams are currently sat in the bottom four in the Premier League table. However, The Saints are stuck in 20th on nine points, a massive 14 points away from Wolves who are in 17th. The visitors will look for a comfortable win, however without their main man Cunha, who is suspended after his red card against Bournemouth in the FA Cup, this may not be so one sided. A statistic that stands out is goals so I’m backing Over 2.5 Match Goals at 1.90, here’s why.
Sorry Saints
Southampton have had an awful season struggling to pick up points with only two wins and three draws from 28 games. In the 2007/08 Premier League season, Derby County recorded the worst points tally with just 11 points after 38 games. Southampton will be desperate to avoid this unwanted statistic as safety looks near impossible with bookies having them 101.00 to not be relegated. Their last win was on the 1st of February against Ipswich and they will see Wolves as a team they could shock with a surprise win.
Unfortunately for Southampton fans, they have a terrible record at home with eight straight losses in a row with only four goals scored in that time. They concede an average of 2.85 goals at St Mary’s keeping just one clean sheet at home. Another reason why goals looks a solid pick for this match.
Big opportunity for Wolves
Wolves won’t have a better chance to pick up three points all season than against Southampton even without Cunha. They desperately need three points to widen the gap between Ipswich and Leicester who occupy the relegation spots. 10 points above Wolves are West Ham, which is a wide gap that will make this game even more important for Wolves to pick up three points providing some breathing room.
I’m backing goals here as Wolves have the most league games that have seen ‘Over 2.5 Match Goals’ with 71%. Whilst Southampton have seen their last 10 league games have at least three goals scored. This should be an exciting game that sees two poor defences go against each other. Once one goal goes in, the flood gates should open as both teams go for that much needed win. At 1.90, this tip represents real value, don’t be surprised to see an entertaining game here!
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