Read NFL Week 11 predictions for all 16 games with predicted scores and win probability. Make the best bets by using this information to make your picks!
Cowboys at Chiefs
With DeMarcus Lawrence, Randy Gregory, and Amati Cooper all unavailable for the Cowboys this weekend, Dallas could be up against it when they visits Arrowhead.
With the the Chiefs on a 3-game winning streak, some may say that the momentum will be the home side. In a close call, we reckon the Cowboys have still been the superior team on both sides of the ball throughout the season and predict them to win 29-26.
Packers at Vikings
At 8-2, Green Bay will be favoured for this match up today against the 4-5 Vikings. However, the recent surge in the aggressiveness of the Vikings is likely to give the Packers offence, who have been doing just enough to get by, a run for their money.
Our thoughts are that this is likely to be a closer game than most would predict, but we still back the Packers taking the game 26-22 with a 58% win probability.
Cardinals at Seahawks
The 3-6 Seahawks defence has now started to gel in the last month, and if put up against a McCoy led Arizona team, may just be able to handle the dominant Cardinals at home.
This could be flipped on its head however if Kyler Murray returns from injury having taken part in practice on Wednesday this week. The Cardinals have stated his participation will be a game time decision, leaving the win probability for Arizona at his stage being 52%.
Steelers at Chargers
The Steelers could be up against it this weekend with some of their best players including Ben Roethlisberger, Minkah Fitzpatrick, Chase Claypool, Kevin Dotson and TJ Watt injured or unlikely to play due to COVID protocols.
Even still, this is set to be one of the tightest games of the weekend. We’re backing the Chargers with a 26-21 final score.
Bengals at Raiders
Both teams head into this game evenly matched with 5-4 records and on seemingly downward spirals.
With a lack of quality on both sides currently, we feel the most significant decline in form has been that of the Bengals defence, and as such have the Raiders to win 25-23, with a win probability of 52%.
Giants at Buccaneers
The Giants could see Saquon Barkley, Kadarius Toney and Kenny Golladay together for only the second time this season – the first being a game when they put almost 500 yards on the Saints.
That being said, even although the Bucs defence wasn’t as solid as usual in their last game against Washington, we have them down to win with a 69% probability.
Colts at Bills
The Colts, having fought back from 0-3 to go 5-5, now go up against solid Bills team in a repeat of last years playoff game.
Even with an improvement in form, we have the Bills at a 59% win probability, final score 27-21.
Lions at Browns
Jared Goff is doubtful to play for Detroit this weekend, meaning Tim Boyle will likely be starting at quarterback. As a result, we suspect the Lions will play a very run heavy offence in a similar tactic to their game against the Steelers.
With the starting QB out for Detroit, our prediction is firmly with the Browns taking complete control of this home game with a 71% probability, final score 36-16.
Washington at Panthers
It’ll be a difficult day at the office as Washington go into this match against one of the leagues best defences without Montez Sweat and Chase Young.
With Cam Newton wanting to maintain a wining streak back at the Panthers, we would edge them to win 25-20, but be prepared for a tight game.
Saints at Eagles
This is a massive game in the NFC cold card race. The Saints are ranked first in run defence in DVOA which will present a challenge for the Eagles who’s offence has relied heavily on their running game in their last three games.
Although Philly’s strong offence can’t be denied, we see the Saints dominating on defence giving them a narrow 23-21 victory.
49ers at Jaguars
The Jags defence has come alive over the past couple of games under the leadership of Josh Allen. At the same time, the 49ers offence seem to be a more cohesive unit with a gritty display over the Rams.
We’d favour the 49ers with a 27-17 win.
Ravens at Bears
A strugglinga Bears’ defence is mow without Khalil Mack and Eddie Jackson. Not ideal when this is the point in the season Baltimore traditionally start to find their momentum.
We have the Ravens at a 56% win probability, final score 25-21.
Texans at Titans
This division match up sees the Titans go up against an entirely predicable Texans defence.
Be prepared for the Titans unleashing their offensive muscle – we have them down to win with a decent 30-16 margin.
Dolphins at Jets
The Jets have decided to pick Joe Flacco over rookie QB Mark White, whilst the Dolphins are starting Tua Tagovailoa whom they have played considerably better with when leading the team this season.
Not likely to be one of the most entertaining match ups of week 11, we have the Dolphins to with 24-20 with a 56% win probability.
