Sunday’s fixture between Marseille and Nantes promises to be an exciting matchup, with our data-driven analysis suggesting plenty of goals between the two sides. The majority of their matches this season have consistently seen goals scored from both sides. Marseille have had both teams to score in their last seven home league matches, while Nantes have done the same but in their last eight away games. With this in mind, I’m tipping both teams to score at odds of 1.90.
Goal Stats
As mentioned, both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently. Let’s begin with Marseille. At home, their both teams to score rate stands at 82% and they have failed to score in just one of the 11 matches they’ve played this season. Marseille’s expected goals (xG) is 1.76, which suggests that they are likely to score again on Sunday, particularly against a Nantes side that has conceded an average of 2.08 goals per game away from home this season.
Nantes have had both teams to score in 83% in away games this season, with only three clean sheets. This combined with their defensive struggles and an xG against of 1.71 suggests they will concede at least one goal to Marseille. The average number of goals scored in their away games is 3.25, further supporting the expectation of a high-scoring encounter.
Marseille’s League Position
Marseille are currently in 2nd place in the Ligue 1 table, trailing PSG by 12 points. While it’s unlikely they will overtake PSG with only 11 games left, Marseille will still aim to close the gap. The last time Marseille failed to score at home was in a 3-0 defeat to PSG in October.
At home, Marseille have kept a clean sheet in just 9% of their games this season and in contrast 25% of their away games which highlights their defensive struggles in front of their home fans.
English forward Mason Greenwood is in excellent form, having scored 14 goals this season. He is their top scorer, with a seven-goal lead over the second highest scorer being Luis Henrique. Recently, Greenwood has scored four goals in his last seven matches and will be a big threat to Nantes’ shaky defense.
Nantes’ Current Form
Nantes are in 14th place in the Ligue 1 table and are dangerously close to the relegation zone. With just a five-point cushion above the drop zone, they are desperate to pick up points to secure their survival.
In their last game, Nantes earned a crucial 3-2 victory over Lens, their fifth win of the season, thanks to goals from Louis Leroux, Moses Simon, and Meschak Elia. This win was vital and Nantes will now aim to build an unbeaten run to ensure they stay clear of the relegation zone.
With both teams showing a tendency for high-scoring matches and Marseille’s attacking options, it’s shaping up to be an exciting game on Sunday hopefully with both teams getting on the score sheet.
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