King George VI Day Best Bets – The Top Three

York Dante Festival


The last few weeks for The Top Three column have been frustrating.

Losses for Tower Of London and Rosscarbery were tough pills to swallow and last week’s NAP, Lezoo, was a non-runner on account of the ground.

This weekend, if you read Wednesday’s Ante-post Analysis column, you could be sitting on one nice slip ahead of Saturday’s Valiant Stakes (she will be one of the bets included below) and if you backed Simca Mille for the King George before he was taken out of the race by connections, then I do feel for you.

Personally, when looking through Simca Mille’s form and pedigree, I had him down as a ground versatile horse who had performed a career-best effort on Good to Soft.

Of course, connections know the horse best and he won on Good ground last time out, but his scratching from Ascot’s feature race came as a surprise.

Anyway, with one dart fired incorrectly, let’s plough on into this week’s The Top Three.


2:25 Ascot – Random Harvest @ 10/3 with William Hill – 2pt Win

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Starting with the aforementioned Group 3 Valiant Stakes, Random Harvest looks like a standout bet at 10/3 with William Hill.

At an ante-post stage on Wednesday, Ed Walker’s five-year-old was 8/1 in a field where Prosperous Voyage was still in; now more than half the price, I’m still keen to keep her on the side.

Firstly, Roger Varian’s Ameynah is the money horse of the race (10/3 from 9/2), however, having her first run for 454 days on an unproven going description would put me off, especially due to the fact her dam, Tazffin, won on Good twice and placed in a Listed event on Good to Firm.

In fairness, Random Harvest isn’t the biggest mudlark in the world as her best run to date came in the Group 2 Duke Of Cambridge on Good and she was a promising second in the Group 3 Princess Elizabeth Stakes on Good to Firm before that.

However, her last victory came on Soft over in Italy, so she could just be a ground versatile type, and hopefully, if she can deal with the conditions, she will come out on top.


3:00 Ascot – Baradar @ 13/2 with William Hill – 1pt EW

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Another horse mentioned in Wednesday’s Ante-post Analysis was Baradar in the International Stakes at 3:00pm.

The George Boughey-trained five-year-old loves Soft ground, as shown by his third in the Lincoln when getting to the front too soon, as well as his victory on Heavy when beating the race’s favourite, Biggles, in November.

Furthermore, a look at her pedigree shows that his dam, Go Lovely Rose, was third on Heavy and second on Soft, so this half-brother to Roseman, the runner-up in the 2020 Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes, should love every bit of give in Ascot’s going.

Also, on his second-last run at Ascot in the Victoria Cup, the Muhaarar gelding dwelt out of the stalls, shifted across the track to the nearside rail, and made up plenty of ground when beaten by five lengths; Perotto, who won two starts later, finished one place behind and Spycatcher, a Group 3 winner in France after, completed the race in fourth.

Off a lenient mark of 96, if everything falls into place, Kevin Stott could be on for an Amo Racing double depending on King Of Steel’s performance in the King George.


3:15 Ascot – My Prospero @ 6/5 with BoyleSports – 5pt Win

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Finally, as shown by my five-point outlay, my NAP of July is over at York with My Prospero in the Group 2 York Stakes.

Last year, a William Haggas and Tom Marquand horse forced me to tears as Dubai Honour lost at odds-on to Sir Busker, so this time around, hopefully, there isn’t a repeat.

The Iffraaj colt was comfortably Haggas’ second-best horse in the yard last year behind the incredible Baaeed, however, he has yet to get off the mark this season in two attempts.

That wouldn’t worry me too much as the races he has lost in included a Lockinge Stakes over the wrong distance and a hot renewal of the Prince Of Wales’s Stakes where he drifted before the off and stayed on at the finish.

In a quieter Group 2 race, the four-year-old would have to seriously disappoint in order not to win and, like I said on the Only Fools Love Horses preview on Wednesday, this could be a ‘penalty kick’.

I’ve jinxed it, haven’t I?

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