Jake Paul: Likely Next Fights and Betting Outlook
As Jake Paul’s knockout of Tyron Woodley reverberates through combat-sport and betting markets, supporters and punters alike are asking which opponent makes the most commercial and sporting sense next. This article examines the most credible match-ups, how bookmakers price crossover events and what bettors should consider when assessing markets.
Content is for readers aged 18+, and betting should be approached responsibly; if you choose to bet, treat it as entertainment and never stake more than you can afford to lose.
How bookmakers set odds for crossover boxing events
Bookmakers price celebrity and crossover fights using a blend of public interest projections, historical ticket and pay-per-view data, and liability management to balance books across markets. Odds also reflect fighter styles, recent form and whether governing bodies or promoters present logistical obstacles to a bout taking place.
For crossover contests the retail market can be particularly volatile, with early money often driven by social media momentum and later adjustments reflecting sharp or professional staking. UK-facing firms will also factor in regulatory considerations, advertising impact and customer protection obligations when listing novelty markets.
Having knocked out Tyron Woodley in Florida over the weekend, the YouTuber star Jake Paul has proved that not only does he talk the talk but he can definitely walk the walk as he landed one of the knockouts of the year.
As he finished off Woodley for the second time this year, there will be plenty of top fighters from the worlds of MMA and boxing who will want the mega-money payday of facing the social media celebrity again.
BestofBets.com have taken a look at the possible next opponents for Paul, ranking the likelihood of any of them actually happening…
Bookmakers seem convinced that we may have a Paul vs McGregor fight coming up before we know it. McGregor is the biggest start in the world of combat sports and the amount of money he would draw is incredible. For this fight to go down, there would need to be deals made with the UFC much like when McGregor fought Floyd Mayweather.
Fury was the original scheduled opponent for Paul however, medical reasons saw him pull out at the eleventh hour. Fury, who’s is a 7-0 professional boxer, would give Paul his most legitimate bout if they square off among the top names listed. Fury continues to insist his fight with Paul will be rescheduled but Paul mocked him after the fight and rumours suggest that this fight in dead in the water.
Masvidal was in the arena on Saturday night and is still a top fighter in the UFC welterweight division. However, while under contract there’s little chance Dana White allows him to take a fight with Paul.
Diaz has one fight left on his UFC contract, which is likely to come in early 2022. There are rumours of one more fight with McGregor as well in the UFC, and if that comes to fruition Diaz is also an unlikely opponent.
Jake Paul’s biggest feud of his career is against the rapper JJ Olatunji. Paul originally began training to box after being called out back in 2018 by him. Jake fought his brother while Logan Paul faced KSI in the ring and the match was ruled a draw. In the rematch, KSI won by split decision over Logan and he was set to face Jake next. Since then COVID-19 got in the way as did KSI’s music career taking off in Europe; and given KSI’s current musical success, which will see him tour his No.1 album around the UK and Europe for most of next year, the YouTube stars probably won’t end up meeting in the ring for a while.
Which fighters are most likely to sign for Paul rematches
When ranking likely opponents, bookmakers weigh commercial value against availability and regulatory hurdles; names already linked to Paul tend to sit shortest in the market. Fighters with crossover appeal, such as those who can draw strong UK and US interest, often jump ahead in the betting despite contractual complications.
For UK punters it is sensible to monitor both outright market prices and promotional statements from camps, since a short price can indicate active negotiations rather than a completed deal. Compare firms’ prices to spot where bookmakers disagree on probabilities and to identify potential value without increasing stakes recklessly.
What odds movement tells us about fight interest
Odds movement can show where the market expects a fight to occur or where heavy liability has been placed by sharp bettors or syndicates. Sudden shortening on one opponent may point to a new development such as a verbal agreement, while drifting prices often reflect perceived logistical barriers.
Tracking early markets across several UK bookmakers helps spot anomalies and may help inform research into a contest, but it does not guarantee an event will happen or that staking will be profitable. Always prioritise bankroll control over chasing perceived market signals.
How UFC contracts affect crossover fight feasibility
Fighters under exclusive UFC contracts face stronger barriers to boxing crossover bouts, as permission depends on promotional appetite and medical clearances. Big names like McGregor have previously navigated these issues when the commercial upside justified complex agreements, but that route is rare and often expensive.
From a betting perspective, markets may list such fights as futures long before contracts are settled, leading to misleading liquidity and pricing. Punters should treat long-term novelty markets as speculative and avoid significant stakes until confirmations appear from promoters or governing bodies.
Betting markets to watch: props, lines and specials
For celebrity bouts prop markets — such as method of victory, round betting and whether the fight goes the distance — often generate the most interest and volatility. These markets are typically lower-liquidity and can carry wider bookmaker margins, so comparing prices across sites is especially important.
Specials like “will a rematch be announced” or “venue of fight” are frequently listed but may be pulled once regulatory scrutiny increases; they are best used for small stakes or entertainment bets rather than large speculative positions. Use bookmaker comparison tools to find the best terms when betting on these smaller markets.
Market implications for bookmakers and bettors in UK
Celebrity fights attract a different mix of customers compared with traditional boxing, often bringing casual bettors into sportsbooks and driving short-term volatility in liabilities. Bookmakers mitigate exposure by limiting stakes, offering reduced max bets or closing markets until clarity improves.
UK bettors should use welcome offers and free bet promotions to explore markets without committing large sums, and always check the terms and wagering requirements before participating. Remember that promotional value does not turn a speculative selection into a reliable income stream.
Responsible staking and bankroll advice for fans
Set a clear budget for entertainment bets and never use funds earmarked for bills or essential spending; this simple rule preserves financial security and improves long-term enjoyment of sports betting. Consider using staking methods such as unit-size systems to keep liability proportionate to bankroll rather than chasing losses.
If betting ever feels like a problem, use UK support resources and tools provided by licensed bookmakers, including deposit limits and self-exclusion options. Betting is for those aged 18 and over and should remain an informed leisure activity rather than a way to solve financial problems.
Assessing stylistic matchups: power, reach and experience
When evaluating potential opponents for Paul, consider how a boxer’s record, reach, and professional experience translate to the ring against a novice who has rapidly improved. Technical boxers with professional sparring experience can pose different problems to fighters used to MMA striking ranges and rulesets.
For bettors looking at performance-based markets, study footage, sparring reports and judge tendencies rather than relying solely on celebrity hype. Stylistic mismatches often show up in specific prop markets such as rounds prop or whether a boxer will be outpointed over distance.
Promotional, commercial and regulatory obstacles to fights
Beyond the fighters themselves, promoters, broadcasters and athletic commissions shape what matches are plausible and when they can occur; all parties must agree for a crossover fight to reach contract stage. High-profile match-ups can be blocked or delayed by disputes over purse splits, rematch clauses or medical clearances.
From a betting-market perspective, these interlocking negotiations often produce abrupt market changes; therefore, bettors should treat pre-contract prices as indicative rather than definitive and avoid heavy exposure until official announcements follow. Use bookmaker alerts and reputable news sources to track confirmations.
You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly and remain aged 18 or over. Our reviews include details on terms and conditions so you can compare free bet availability and wagering requirements across providers.
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Frequently asked questions about Jake Paul opponents
How likely is a fight with Conor McGregor to happen?
McGregor would be a high commercial possibility but a complicated one due to UFC contractual and promotional factors, so it remains speculative at best. Confirmations tend to follow public statements from both camps and promoter agreements rather than odds alone.
Is a Tommy Fury rematch realistic after the withdrawal?
A Fury rematch retains interest, but public animosity and scheduling suggest negotiations could be protracted; many bookmakers keep it shorter-priced due to the prior match-up’s profile. Bettors should wait for formal announcements before staking significant sums.
Could UFC-contracted fighters like Masvidal or Diaz get permission?
It is uncommon but possible if the UFC and the fighter’s management agree terms, medicals and timing; such deals are generally complex and rare. Markets that list these options early are often reflecting speculation rather than certainty.
Are prop markets a better option than outright winner bets?
Props can offer value for informed punters who have studied styles and likely fight tempo, but they are typically higher margin and lower liquidity markets. Comparing prices and using small stakes for entertainment bets is the responsible approach.
How should I manage my bankroll for novelty fights?
Allocate a small, fixed percentage of your total betting bankroll to novelty fights and stick to pre-set unit stakes to avoid emotional decisions. Treat these selections as speculative entertainment rather than investment.
Where can I compare best odds for these fights in the UK?
Use licensed bookmaker comparison tools to check odds across multiple UK-facing sportsbooks and to identify where best value can be found. Always read terms and remain 18+ when using betting services.
What are safe gambling steps if betting feels problematic?
Set deposit, stake and time limits with your bookmaker, consider self-exclusion if required and consult UK support organisations for help; these measures protect your wellbeing. Betting should never be used to address personal financial issues or emotional distress.
