Fulham welcome Man United to Craven Cottage on Sunday evening where we normally see goals, in fact Fulham have been involved in both teams scoring in 91% of their home games. This stat paired with Sasa Lukic who averages the 2nd highest fouls per game in the league with 2.3 leads me to tip both teams to score and Sasa Lukic to commit 1+ foul at 1.86.
Goal Stats For Both Teams
United have conceded more goals (32) than they have scored this season (27) and that’s in just 22 games. They have also failed to keep a clean sheet 16 times this season.
On the other hand, Fulham have only failed to score in one home game this season which was against Southampton in their 0-0 draw in December. Fulham only have four clean sheets all season which asks questions about their defence.
To note most recently, Fulham’s last five games have involved both teams scoring except last week’s 2-0 away win against Leicester. In contrast, United’s last three games have seen both teams hitting the back of the net so we should expect to see goals from both teams in what looks to be an end to end fixture.
Looking at expected goals , United have averaged 1.44 xG for per game this season and have conceded on average 1.27 xG against per game. Similarly, Fulham have averaged 1.52 xG per game this season and have conceded on average of 1.29 xG per game. This reflects Fulham’s real goal stats with averaging 1.55 goals per game showing they convert most their chances.
No Mercy Lukic
Lukic has fouled at least once every game apart from two games, one of those he only played 14 minutes. He has fouled his opponent 39 times this season placing him joint 6th with Will Hughes from Crystal Palace. Lukic has averaged 2.3 fouls per game, the most of any other Fulham player.
So far in January he has played three games in the league and has committed 11 fouls. He has picked up nine yellow cards this campaign which is joint top with Southampton’s Flynn Downes. Lukic is an important player for Fulham with his break up play and defensive workrate, in the last two games he has played the full 90 minutes so he is unlikely to be taken off early.
The Build-up
Both teams met on the first game of the season where Man United took all three points thanks to Joshua Zirkzee’s late winner on his United debut
Fulham are still without Kenny Tete and Reiss Nelson, but Marco Silva otherwise has a full squad for Sunday. Matthijs de Ligt and Leny Yoro each felt discomfort during the Rangers game and they are a doubt for this weekend. Mason Mount and Luke Shaw are still out injured but nearing their return. Antony will not be involved as he is undergoing a medical for his proposed loan move to Real Betis.
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