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Matildas Women’s World Cup 2023: Analysis & Betting Guide

A profile of Women's World Cup 2023 hosts Australia as Sam Kerr looks to inspire the Matildas this summer

Dominic Booth by Dominic Booth
January 16, 2026
in Football
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Matildas at the Women’s World Cup 2023: Analysis

Overview: Australia’s prospects and tournament context

The Matildas enter the 2023 Women’s World Cup with momentum, home advantage and realistic expectations from fans and pundits alike.

This expanded guide examines tactical shape, key players, squad depth and how to interpret betting markets responsibly ahead of kickoff.

Assessing the Matildas’ strengths across all key positions

Australia combine a physical, high-energy approach with technically capable wide players and a recognised goalscorer in Sam Kerr, giving them multiple attacking routes.

Defensively the side has improved organisation and leagues experience across the backline, which helps in managing high-pressure knockout games.

Attacking options beyond the headline striker

Cortnee Vine, Mary Fowler and winger rotations provide pace and creativity to complement Kerr’s presence, creating overloads down the flanks and chances from set plays.

That variety reduces predictability and allows Tony Gustavsson to change patterns without sacrificing cohesion when opponents focus on Kerr.

Defensive structure and full‑back contributions

Full‑backs such as Ellie Carpenter provide width, overlapping runs and defensive cover, which balance the side when midfielders push forward in possession phases.

Centre‑back partnerships have blended youth and experience to handle aerial threats and to build play from the back under pressure.

Tactics, formation and coaching philosophy in 2023

Gustavsson has shifted the team away from a single‑channel attack to a more collective, possession‑based model that still values quick transitions and vertical passes.

The coach’s pragmatic approach focuses on structure out of possession and flexibility in attack, enabling the Matildas to adapt to different opponents across the tournament.

Formation choices and in‑game adjustments

Australia can deploy a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 depending on opposition strengths, often prioritising wing play and late runs into the box from midfielders.

In-game substitutions and tactical tweaks are used to protect leads or chase matches without abandoning the team’s core defensive shape.

Pressing, transition and counterattack plans

The team press aggressively in midfield when required, aiming to force turnovers and launch quick counters that suit speedy wide players and forward runs.

Effective transition play has been a feature in recent friendlies, enabling the Matildas to punish teams that commit numbers forward.

Key players to watch and leadership on the pitch

Sam Kerr remains the focal point in attack, but leadership from experienced internationals and younger influencers is equally important for tournament resilience.

Players who step up in big moments — whether creating chances, marshalling the defence or converting set pieces — can be decisive in tight knockout fixtures.

Sam Kerr’s qualities and broader influence

Kerr offers aerial threat, intelligent movement and clinical finishing, while her leadership and profile help galvanise the squad on and off the pitch.

Opponents will plan specifically to limit her influence, so Kerr’s impact often depends on support from wide players and creative midfielders.

Emerging talents likely to make a difference

Cortnee Vine’s crossing and dribbling make her a constant danger on the right, while younger midfielders offer energy and ball progression through congested areas.

When these emerging talents perform consistently, Australia’s attack becomes less predictable and more difficult to counter.

Squad depth, fitness and injury considerations

Depth across positions gives the Matildas tactical options, but any untimely injuries to key performers could influence their progression in a compact tournament schedule.

Managerial rotation and recovery protocols will be important to maintain intensity through group games and into the knockout phase.

Midfield balance and rotation options

A mix of defensive midfielders and ball carriers allows Gustavsson to select units that either protect a lead or push for a goal depending on the match situation.

Rotation also preserves fitness for later stages and gives bench players a platform to impact games when called upon.

Bench impact and late‑game substitutions

Effective use of substitutes can change tempo, provide fresh legs down the wings, or add aerial presence late in matches when results are finely poised.

Strong bench contributions were evident in recent friendlies and will be monitored by opposing coaches preparing for Australia.

Tournament route, potential matchups and knockout prospects

Home advantage brings familiarity with conditions and crowd support, but the knockout path depends on group draws and matchday form against top-ranked teams.

A semi‑final target is reasonable given current form, but navigating heavyweights such as USA, England, Spain or Germany will require tactical discipline and resilience.

Group stage challenges and strategic priorities

Securing points early in the group stage reduces pressure and allows for cautious rotation later, while a positive goal difference can matter for progression.

Prioritising defensive solidity in opening fixtures often sets the foundation for momentum and confidence in knockout rounds.

Knockout match dynamics and preparation

Knockout ties frequently hinge on marginal moments: set pieces, fitness in extra time and penalty composure, so preparation must cover technical and psychological aspects.

Australia’s coaching staff will focus on set‑piece routines, substitution timing and recovery to maximise the team’s chances in high‑stakes matches.

Interpreting betting markets and responsible wagering

Odds reflect bookmaker assessments of probability and market demand, not guarantees, so readers should approach markets with informed expectations and caution.

Outright markets, match lines and player props offer different risk profiles; understanding implied probability helps compare value without overcommitting stakes.

Outright odds versus match and in‑play markets

Outright markets reward long‑term conviction and typically carry higher margin and volatility, while match and in‑play bets are influenced by real‑time events and momentum swings.

Smart bettors consider liquidity, odds movement and underlying statistics rather than following headline prices alone.

Responsible betting practices for readers

Gambling is for people aged 18 and over and should always be undertaken responsibly, with limits set for time and money and an understanding that losses are possible.

If betting, stick to preset stakes, avoid chasing losses and seek help from support services if gambling becomes problematic.

How to use bookmaker comparison tools and offers responsibly

Comparison tools help identify the best odds, markets and promotional terms across bookmakers but should be used for information rather than pressure to bet.

Always read terms and conditions of offers, assess qualifying criteria and remember that affiliate links listed on comparison pages are informational and not guarantees of return.

Comparing odds, markets and promotional terms

Small differences in odds can affect long‑term returns, so shopping for the best price is a sensible discipline for anyone analysing markets thoroughly.

Promotional offers vary in wagering requirements and expiry, so prioritise clarity on those elements before considering a sign‑up.

Affiliate disclosure and editorial independence

BestOfBets provides comparison tools and may list affiliated offers, but editorial content remains independent and designed to inform rather than persuade readers to bet.

You can explore bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly, and affiliate links are disclosed for transparency.

Preparing for match day: tips for data and team news

Follow team news, confirmed lineups and tactical previews close to kick‑off to understand starting formations and any late absences that may shift match dynamics.

Statistical context such as recent form, set‑piece conversion and defensive records should inform any considered view on likely outcomes rather than emotion or hype.

Using stats to form measured expectations

Combine qualitative analysis — such as injury reports and tactical matchups — with quantitative measures like expected goals and possession trends for balanced judgement.

Avoid over‑reliance on single metrics; triangulating sources yields clearer insight into realistic chances and market value.

Mental preparation and managing expectations

Fans and bettors benefit from measured expectations: celebrate good performances, but recognise football is unpredictable and outcomes are not predetermined.

Maintaining perspective reduces emotional decision‑making and keeps both fandom and any betting activity within healthy boundaries.

Frequently asked questions about the Matildas and betting

Can Australia win the 2023 Women’s World Cup?

Australia have a realistic chance given home advantage, squad quality and recent form, but winning depends on consistency, fitness and matchday execution.

Betting on outcomes should be done responsibly and with the understanding that no result is certain and losses are possible.

What are the best markets to consider for Matildas matches?

Match result, both teams to score and player performance markets can be informative, depending on your analysis and risk appetite.

Always assess odds, market liquidity and bookmaker terms before placing any wager and keep stakes within predetermined limits.

How important is Sam Kerr to Australia’s chances?

Kerr is highly influential through goals and leadership, but Australia’s plan increasingly emphasises collective contribution to reduce single‑player dependency.

Opponents will target her, so supporting players and tactical flexibility often determine how much influence she has in any given match.

Should I use bookmaker comparison tools before betting?

Yes, comparison tools help locate competitive odds and understand promotional terms, but they are informational and not a reason to bet impulsively.

Always prioritise responsible play, check offer terms and remember affiliate links are disclosed so you can evaluate options transparently.

What responsible gambling safeguards should I follow?

Only gamble if you are 18 or over, set deposit and loss limits, avoid chasing losses, and pause activity if it causes stress or financial strain.

If you think gambling may be becoming a problem, contact support services such as GamCare or your local helpline for confidential advice and help.

How does home advantage affect the Matildas’ odds?

Home advantage can boost performance through familiar conditions and crowd support, and bookmakers factor this into pricing alongside form and squad strength.

Odds reflect probability and market sentiment, not certainty, so use them as one input among tactical and statistical analysis.

Are there safer ways to engage with the tournament if I don’t want to bet?

Yes — consider using official match previews, statistics pages and fan guides to enrich matchday experience without wagering money.

Attending matches, watching with friends and following expert analysis are safe, enjoyable ways to follow the tournament while avoiding gambling risks.

You can explore current bookmaker offers and free bet promotions through our comparison page at https://bestofbets.com/free-bets if you choose to bet responsibly and are 18 or over.

For readers interested in casino bonuses, our affiliated offers and bonus details are listed at https://bestofbets.com/casino-bonus for informational purposes only.

Tags: 2023Australia WomenBetting Guidebetting tipsFIFA Women's World Cup
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Millie Bright & the Lionesses — England's World Cup 2023 Prospects, Analysis & Odds

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