Premier League Gameweek 5 Goalscorer Treble Guide

This guide complements our Gameweek 5 goalscorer treble and gives clear reasoning behind each selection while explaining how to judge value. It is written for readers aged 18+ and aims to inform rather than promote wagering.

In-depth analysis, betting context and key pointers

Below we expand on form lines, fixture context, rotation risk and sensible staking when backing a goalscorer treble. Please remember betting is for adults only (18+) and should always be approached responsibly.

After the Champions League swung into gear in not-altogether scintillating fashion, the weekend sees focus turn back to the Premier League for Gameweek 5.

As Manchester City and Arsenal meet at the Etihad Stadium in Sunday’s blockbuster clash – after both City and the Gunners drew blanks versus Italian opposition – another close encounter is expected at Eastlands.

So, this weekend, BestofBets steer away from dogfight at the top and look further afield for our Goalscorer Treble at 10/1 with Boylesports, but who has made out cut for Gameweek 5?

Ollie Watkins

After his Euro’ semi-final heroics, Ollie Watkins can be forgiven for having a sluggish start to campaign.

However, as super-sub Jhon Duran remains his back up option, and after Watkins ended an eight-game league scoring drought against a haphazard Everton, a derby encounter against Wolves looks inviting.

The Villa man was forced off as a precaution in Tuesday’s Champions League meeting in Bern, but boss Unai Emery has said his frontman should be ok for Saturday afternoon.

Wolves, meanwhile, have shipped two goals a game in all but one of six contests in all comps – five at home to Chelsea – and if Villa are in the mood, Watkins could have a field day.

Though the menacing threat of Duran lingers to start ahead of him at Villa Park, we will stick to our guns with this one.

Mo Salah

For Mo Salah, 180 minutes without a goal is something of a goal drought, but having blanked away in Milan and at home to Nottingham Forest in the Reds’ surprise defeat, the Egyptian should have better fare here.

As Bournemouth make the trip to Anfield, Arne Slot may be wary of successive upsets, but despite a plucky showing against Chelsea, we do not foresee any issues for Liverpool.

Salah has scored in three of four league games so far, and has a tally of four goals at home against the Cherries in his time on Merseyside – including one in the same fixture last season.

Bournemouth may not ship nine goals as they infamously did in 2022, but we’re backing Salah to find the net all the same.

Jamie Vardy

For the third piece of Gameweek 5’s treble there are contenders aplenty, but Jamie Vardy gets the nod this time.

The Foxes’ veteran striker has netted in half his league games this term so far, but crucially to our hopes, as Leicester City welcome the aforementioned Toffees’ porous back line, Vardy could be in line for another notch on the tally.

Twice now in successive league outings, Everton have surrendered a two-goal advantage, and Vardy played the full 90 minutes against both Aston Villa and Crystal Palace.

With Steve Cooper having few alternatives up top, Vardy looks good to play the duration again, and cause Everton further angst.

Gameweek 5 goalscorer treble: Watkins, Salah + Vardy to score @ 10/1 with Boylesports.

Why Watkins looks a strong pick this weekend

Watkins has shown he can operate both as a main striker and as a focal point for Villa’s attacking rotations, which increases his chances of being on the pitch at key moments. Wolves’ defensive record this season suggests opportunities for movement in the channels and second balls that suit Watkins’ style.

Monitoring pre-match team news and Emery’s selection comments is vital because Duran’s presence on the bench would reduce Watkins’ expected minutes, and minutes are a crucial factor when assessing goalscorer bets. If Watkins starts and plays the majority of the match his expected goal involvement and shot volume make him a sensible treble component.

Why Mo Salah remains a reliable goalscorer pick

Salah’s underlying numbers at Anfield remain strong and he is Liverpool’s primary source of high-quality chances, particularly from inside the box where conversion rates are higher. Bournemouth’s tendency to allow central shots and their struggles away from home elevate Salah’s probability of scoring in this fixture.

Form should not be assessed only on recent blanks; look at expected goals (xG), key passes and team shape to understand whether a forward’s chances are likely to return. For punters, Salah often represents value when the market under-reacts to short-term misses and Liverpool remain the dominant attacking team at home.

Jamie Vardy and Leicester’s fixture appeal analysed

Vardy’s game is well-suited to faults in Everton’s back line because he thrives on quick transitions and timed runs behind high defensive lines, and Everton’s recent conceding pattern fits that template. Consistent full-match minutes enhance his appeal for goalscorer selections, so team sheets and late injury updates are important to check.

When backing a veteran like Vardy consider his minutes-per-goal ratio rather than raw totals, since rotation and fatigue can affect output across a season. If he is confirmed to start and Leicester adopt an attacking approach, Vardy’s probability of scoring becomes materially higher than many market odds suggest.

How to assess value on a goalscorer treble bet

Value is about comparing your estimate of a player’s scoring probability with the implied probability from bookmaker odds, and a structured approach reduces guesswork and emotional betting. Use form, fixture difficulty, expected goals and likely minutes to build a simple scoring probability for each selection.

Combine those probabilities to get an implied chance of the treble landing and compare this to the market price; back trebles where your estimated probability exceeds the implied market probability. Remember stakes should be proportionate to confidence and bankroll, and trebles carry higher variance than single selections.

Match-up and defensive records to weigh up closely

Study both teams’ defensive tendencies, expected goals conceded and how they perform against similar opposition to the one they face this weekend. Home and away splits, set-piece vulnerability and recent tactical changes all influence a striker’s chances to score.

Rotation risk, minutes and manager selection clues

Managers giving minutes to international returnees or rotating for cup commitments can dramatically change a player’s chances to score, so track manager quotes, training reports and press conferences. Betting late after confirmed line-ups can reduce the risk of unexpected substitutions and rotation.

Bookmaker comparison and sensible staking approaches

Compare prices across a range of bookmakers to identify where the treble or individual goalscorer prices are most generous, and consider using a comparison tool to save time. Adopt a staking method that limits exposure, such as flat stakes or a small percentage of a defined betting bank, and never chase losses.

Practical tips for placing a goalscorer treble

Place trebles on markets that pay on bets where any of the named players score, and check whether the bookmaker includes own goals or penalties in their terms when relevant to your selection. Use early odds as a guide but keep an eye on changes close to kick-off which may reflect team news or market-moving information.

Consider alternatives such as betting one or two singles combined with a double to reduce variance while preserving upside, and only stake what you can afford to lose as trebles are inherently higher risk. Keep wagering decisions evidence-based and avoid letting short-term form swings unduly influence selection.

Responsible gambling: safe limits and support guidance

Gambling should be for entertainment and is only open to those aged 18 and over; please set limits and only wager with money you can afford to lose. If you feel your gambling is becoming a problem, seek help from organisations such as GamCare or GambleAware in the UK.

Tools like deposit limits, time-outs and self-exclusion are available from licensed bookmakers and can help keep gambling responsible and under control. Our content is informational and not a suggestion that betting is a route to financial gain or wellbeing.

Comparing offers and reading terms before you bet

When exploring sign-up offers or free bet promotions always read the terms and conditions, including minimum odds, wagering requirements and withdrawal limits, to ensure you understand the real value. Promotions can differ on markets eligible for free bets and the expiry windows applied, so choose offers that match your betting habits.

If you use affiliate comparison pages check they list key terms transparently and show how to claim offers responsibly; using multiple bookmakers for better prices on trebles is common but keep a written record of offers and their expiry to avoid misunderstandings. You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly.

Before staking, set a maximum single-session loss and stick to it, and consider small, consistent stakes rather than chasing larger returns on longer odds trebles.

Remember: never regard betting as a way to make money or a solution to financial problems; if gambling is causing issues contact support services and consider pausing activity.

Browse our bookmaker comparison page for current free bets and recommended offers.

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Frequently asked questions about Gameweek 5 treble bets

Q: Who should consider backing the Watkins, Salah and Vardy treble? People aged 18+ who understand treble risk and want an informed, evidence-based entertainment wager might consider it, but only with a sensible stake and awareness of variance.

Q: How do I reduce the risk of a goalscorer treble? Reduce risk by splitting selections into singles or doubles, limiting stakes, and waiting for confirmed team news before placing the bet to avoid unexpected rotation.

Q: Are there alternatives to backing a treble outright? Yes, place singles or doubles, use combination bets, or back one or two players and use a smaller stake on the treble to preserve upside while lowering variance.

Q: What should I check in bookmaker terms for goalscorer markets? Check whether penalties, extra-time or own goals count, minimum qualifying odds, and any settlement rules that affect the market you intend to use.

Q: How important is team news and press conference information? Very important; manager comments and confirmed line-ups can change expected minutes and roles, which materially affects the likelihood of a named player scoring.

Q: Where can I get support if gambling becomes a problem? If gambling is causing harm, contact UK organisations such as GamCare or GambleAware for confidential support and advice, and consider using bookmaker self-exclusion tools.

Q: Is this guide a guarantee of success? No, there are no guarantees in betting; this guide provides informed analysis and guidance only, and all bets carry risk.

Q: Can I use multiple bookmakers to improve my treble price? Yes, comparing prices across licensed UK bookmakers can show where you get the best return, but always do so within your responsible gambling limits.