Best Of Bets

Tag: horse racing tips

  • Four To Follow Strong Fancies at Ascot

    Four To Follow Strong Fancies at Ascot

    Before we gear up for Christmas and the Boxing Day madness, we have one last Group One at Ascot with the Long Walk Hurdle. Strong Leader, Crambo and The Wallpark all feature for another strong renewal of the big race. Plus plenty of good handicap action to go alongside.

    Go and be Great

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    1:50 – Howden Graduation Chase – Iroko @ 11/10 (William Hill, BetVictor)

    Last time out at Haydock, Iroko could be forgiven for his run on the particularly wet and boggy conditions when finishing half a length second to Trelawne. This time the ground looks like it’s in his favour but is surrounded by three Irish raiders. However, they’re not the absolute best that Ireland can offer, and although James du Berlais looks threatening on ratings, Iroko should come on for his first run this season and offer a more polished round of jumping.

    A Strong Choice

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    2:25 – Long Walk Hurdle (Grade One) – Strong Leader @ 15/8 (William Hill, BetVictor)

    Strong Leader has developed into a proper Grade One hurdler and trainer Olly Murphy thinks the world about him. And despite a weak renewal in the Long Distance Hurdle, he won with ease to blow the cobwebs off. One slight negative may be that he hasn’t won right-handed. However he was a length second to one of today’s opponents Blueking D’Oroux over a shorter trip in November in 2023. Today, I see no issues with him and should primed for his second Grade One.

    Don’t discount last year’s Crambo, however. This is his first outing this season and Fergal O’Brien horses to have a tendency to win early on in their campaigns. It’s clear he’s been aimed at this race once again, and without a prep run one might be concerned. But last season he came out of handicaps to step up right to the mark, and this might be the one time to catch him this season. 10/1 (William Hill, BetVictor).

    V For A Venetia Victory

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    3:00 – Silver Cup Handicap Chase (Premier H’cap) – Victtorino @ 2/1 (William Hill)

    It’s not a Saturday in the middle of the bleak midwinter without a Venetia Williams winner on Saturday. And one of the horses she will look to have primed, for a second bite of the cherry, is Victtorino. He didn’t live up to the expectations of headline news in the Racing Post for the Coral Gold Cup but stayed on well to finish third. Now off an unchanged mark, one pound higher than last year’s winning run and two wins from three at Ascot, he’s the obvious choice to go with here.

    With the edition of the David Power Jockey’s Cup, Harry Skelton has now taken advantage to win at least one race on ITV until the end of the season. And Flegmatik represents, possibly, his best chance of the day. He comes back into handicap company and is five pounds lower than his run two starts back, after never impressing in Grade Two company. He has a better record going right-handed after success at Kempton in January. He’s also three pounds lower than his third-place mark in last year’s contest. Great chance at 11/1 (General).

    Starting a Kabral

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    3:35 – Ladbrokes Handicap Hurdle (Premier H’cap) – Kabral Du Mathan @ 7/2 (William Hill)

    Unbeaten in three starts, Kabral Du Mathan may find this field testing. However, he bossed the field last time out on handicap debut, on only his third start. The second-placed horse then went and won yesterday boosting the form no end. The ground should be to his liking and looks to be the only Paul Nicholls’ horse that, if campaigned right, may see the season out unbeaten again (famous last words!)

    Fiercely Proud was no where near fit looking back on his run in the Greatwood Hurdle, yet it was a decent effort to finish sixth. The Pauling team must still think a great deal of him to put him back in a premier handicap and will have targeted this race since the day after his disappointing Greatwood run. 10/1 (General).

    The Very Best of Luck!

  • Cheltenham Christmas Meeting – Day Two: Four To Follow

    Cheltenham Christmas Meeting – Day Two: Four To Follow

    A few pre-Christmas celebrations start at Cheltenham, as we head to Prestbury Park for some December fireworks on the racetrack. Day Two sees more of competitive action and including the December Gold Cup.

     

    Follow That Star

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    1:50 – Nyetimber December Gold Cup H’cap Chase (Premier Handicap) – Stage Star @ 6/1 (William Hill)

    Paul Nicholls’ horses are now starting to find their form in this part of the season. After their initial first run, it seems that they perform up to their potential second-up. That’s why Stage Star makes appeal. He wasn’t totally disgraced in the Old Roan when carrying top weight on his first run for the season. That run will have blown away the cobwebs and we should see the Grade One Stage Star turn up today.

    In his last five runs, Ga Law’s record reads 1P222. Incredible consistency who also has a good strike record at Cheltenham too with two wins and one second from five starts. This looks to be his bread and butter and has won on the New Course here too, another feather in his cap. He will aim to be up at the finish once more. 8/1 (William Hill, BetVictor, Boylesports).

    In Excelsis Deo was unlucky to unseat Bryan Carver in the Paddy Power Gold Cup, but this looks a more manageable job if he gets a clear round of jumping. He looks well-handicapped in the field and also finished second on this card 12 months ago, before relishing the step up in trip in the Spring. One day he’ll score one of these big handicaps at Cheltenham. 10/1 (William Hill, BetVictor).

     

    Liberty And Freedom

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    2:25 – BetMGM Handicap Chase – Libberty Hunter @ 5/2 (BetVictor)

    It’s quite interesting that Libberty Hunter has been waited on until December. However, he was good winner second-up in December after falling first out last season. If trainer Evan Williams feels he’s fit to win first time out, the who am I to argue. Ground is a slight concern as I think he may want it a bit softer, but he steps markedly down in Grade after placing in the G1 Maghull Novices’ Chase at Aintree.

    We didn’t see the real Triple Trade last time at Ascot but is over a stone down in weight today which ahs to be considered. The last time he won was almost a year ago, so December may be the time to catch him before the handicapper has his way. 7/1 (William Hill, BetVictor).

     

    Cheltenham Heist

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    3:00 – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Grade Two) – Skyjack Hyjack @ 7/4 (General)

    Arguably one of the best horses in training is making a step in the right direction. After scorching the turf in the French Furze at Newcastle, it was only a matter of time before Skyjack Hyjack got his first taste of Cheltenham. On the more galloping New Course, it should suit his front-running style that even the jockey’s are still oblivious too. To make things even better for his chances, trainer Jennie Candlish is on fire with 28% strike rate and an across-the-card double yesterday.

     

    Maybe Take This One

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    3:35 – Mares’ Handicap Hurdle – Take No Chances @ 6/1 (William Hill)

    It wouldn’t be a Saturday meeting without Harry Skelton nudging up another win. And Take No Chances, like Libberty Hunter steps markedly down in Grade from the G1 Fighting Fifth where she did finish 17 lengths ahead of G1 winner Mystical Power. She does carry top weight after her Listed Wetherby win, but she posses a lot of talent.

    Has everyone just forgotten about Wodhooh? She won a Doncaster Listed mares’ hurdle last time out and she remains unbeaten in five starts over hurdles. To make things arguably better, she drops below her 130 mark today as Danny Gilligan claims three pounds to make her competitive. More than an each-way chance at 14/1 (William Hill).

  • Cheltenham Christmas Meeting – Day One: Four To Follow

    Cheltenham Christmas Meeting – Day One: Four To Follow

    A few pre-Christmas celebrations start at Cheltenham, as we head to Prestbury Park for some December fireworks on the racetrack. Day One sees plenty of competitive handicaps and, potentially, some exciting novices’ too.

     

    Potter About

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    12:40 – SSS Super Alloys Novice’s Chase – Caldwell Potter @ 11/10 (William Hill)

    The trend with this race is usually the winner has had a run beforehand. The other factor is four of these races have been won by Nicky Henderson. But we’re yet to see Jango Baie and he comes into the race against tough opposition against Caldwell Potter. He impressed me most of all with his jumping style at Carlisle, and that stiff test could prove to be beneficial to his cause racing at Cheltenham.

     

    Cheltenham Christmas Chianti

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    1:50 – Sonic The Hedgehog 3 Coming Soon Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) – Chianti Classico @ 6/4 (General)

    And the winner for most ridiculous name for a race this year is… THIS ONE!

    But we shouldn’t have a ridiculous winner of the race as Cheltenham Festival winner Chianti Classico looks to double up from Ascot. It was an impressive feat carrying top weight and winning in such easy style and looks to outclass this field in this small handicap. We may not see him much more after this however, if the Grand National is on the cards.

     

    Shakin’ It Up

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    2:25 – Unibet Middle Distance Veterans’ Handicap Chase – Shakem Up’Arry @ 5/1 (William Hill)

    This looks one of the best handicaps in what is arguably one of the more welcome additions to racing. The Veterans’ series is a true delight to watch many old faces to battle once more. And Cheltenham course and distance scorer Shakem Up’Arry looks to be competitive once more. He was an excellent winner of this year’s Plate as well as the New Year’s Day Handicap Chase. He knows his way around, and more importantly, goes well fresh.

    Eldorado Allen may be forgotten about in the field. He returned with a decent second on seasonal reappearance behind Torn And Frayed at Warwick, but the handicap may work in his favour for such a wide margin. He should appreciate the better ground too, but the underlying factor is he hasn’t won in two-and-a-half years. That could all change today. 8/1 (William Hill).

     

    Magic Madrik

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    3:00 – Glenfarclas Crystal Cup Cross Country Handicap Chase – Iceo Madrik @ 7/2 (William Hill, BetVictor, Unibet)

    Iceo Madrik has shown a new zest for life now going over the banks in France. French X-Country’s are known to be perilous, so it may look like a walk in the park for Iceo Madrik. Don’t forget that French raider Sweet David won the previous X-Country Chase at Cheltenham, so the those from the continent are always worth some value.

    Looking to hopes more our side of the water, Mister Coffey raced to finish second in that X-Country chase last time, just improving up the hill. It seems this might be his calling, and with one race under his belt he could prove to tough opposition to a more experienced French rival. 9/2 (William Hill).

  • Four To Follow – Just About On

    Four To Follow – Just About On

    Sandown survives, which means we can get on with a high-class day of action that includes two Grade One’s, and some competitive handicaps. Let’s see who is going to tackle a tricky Esher track well today.

     

    Second No More

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    1:15 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle – Henri The Second @ 4/1 (General)

    Following the Paul Nicholls’ trend this season, Henri The Second should have come on the for run after returning to hurdles here. However, he steps up to three miles for the first time but will shape up like he will need it. He’s a half-brother to chaser Enrilo so should have plenty of energy in the tank as well. He looks the ideal candidate, with a slight drop in the weights.

    Despite the outsider, Up For Parol looks to have a decent each-way chance. He’s been consistent for quite a while and has placed in this company before, when racing in the 2023 Lanzarote Hurdle. Trainer Jamie Snowden is in good form with both winners and places too, so should be round about at the finish. 14/1 (General).

     

    Worth A Touch

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    1:50 – Henry VIII Novice’s Chase (Grade One) – Touch Me Not @ 9/2 (William Hill)

    This will be a small but competitive novice’s chase, particularly with two Irish raiders making their way over. L’eau Du Sud and Down Memory Lane look talented themselves but Touch Me Not has the best experience on soft ground and is a Grade Two winner. L’eau Du Sud was the winner of a weaker Grade Two, which may lead to him getting beaten.

     

    On For Jonbon?

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    3:00 – Tingle Creek Chase (Grade One) – Quilixios @ 6/1 (William Hill)

    Considering Jonbon doesn’t have to beat much in Great Britain, he faces a tougher test to retain his Tingle Creek crown. There’s no doubt he won’t finish outside the top two, but in a hot field he can come under pressure.

    Quilixios is a talented chaser, who just happens to be around at the same time as Energumene, Gaelic Warrior, Found A Fifty, etc. And his seven-and-a-half length victory beating odd-on favourite Marine Nationale at Naas, showed he has a good turn of foot too. Sandown should suit, the ground should suit, and his price should be a lot shorter than it is.

     

    Van To Go

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    3:35 – London National Handicap Chase – Mr Vango @ 9/2 (William Hill, BetVictor, Unibet)

    Mr Vango showed an incredible attitude and likeness for the marathon trips. But he could never get into a rhythm in the Scottish Grand National. He should be suited returning from a break today and might be the one to make the best of the worse conditions at Sandown. He still looks well handicapped off the same rating he had for the Scottish Grand National and Nico de Boinville is an attractive booking.

    After his mishap in the Cross-Country Chase, Tommie Beau returns to the track with a more straightforward layout in front of him. Unless he takes the wrong final fence up the homestraight. He’s completely versatile on the ground and has competed in a few local Nationals before so can handle the marathon trip well. Not bad each-way at 10/1 (William Hill).

  • Four To Follow – Got Gold?

    Four To Follow – Got Gold?

    One of the feature handicap highlights of the season falls upon us. Formerly the Hennessey, the who will take the prestigious Coral Gold Cup? Plus two more competitive handicaps at Newbury and Newcastle and the small matter of the G1 Fighting Fifth.

     

    Newbury

    A Gold Gamble

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    2:25 – Gerry Feilden Intermediate H’cap Hurdle (Premier H’cap) – Queens Gamble @ 5/1 (William Hill)

    Queens Gamble has been rather consistent returning to form after a break. Reading 121, she can make it four in a row over hurdles in a race she’s been trained for since returning from Summer. Although we would have liked to have seen her more last season she has form to act with Casa No Mento winning twice subsequently. The ground seems to be drying, in her favour, at Newbury too.

    Nicknamed “the Ferrari” Liari was an underrated horse last season, particularly in the British juvenile division. He returned with a decent third at Chepstow, where the winner subsequently placed on his next start behind a good horse in Givemefive. But before pulling up at Cheltenham, he bossed fields at Wincanton, Aintree and Musselburgh in the Scottish Triumph Hurdle. 7/1 (BetVictor).

    Another stand-out British juvenile was Salver, who makes his reappearance after finishing third in the G1 Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham. The second-placed horse that day finished second at Aintree and won at Punchestown, so the form stacks up. He may want a bit more juice in the ground, but this represents a big drop in grade. 9/1 (William Hill).

     

    Rank And File

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    3:00 – Coral Gold Cup H’cap Chase (Premier H’cap) – Colonel Harry @ 9/1 (William Hill)

    This goes without saying, one of the poorest renewals of the “Hennessey” for a while. Usually, you can identify a potential Gold Cup horse in this race, but this field don’t seem to have the capability.

    But it’s still a great betting race, and I’ve identified Colonel Harry as the potential winner. He’s a second season chaser and has already had a prep run, which is a big plus in this race. He runs for the same trainer jockey and owners of the great Datsalrightgino, last year’s winner, and has a very similar profile and book of form.

    Despite being a shorter price than the top pick Broadway Boy looked to have the credentials of a top-level handicap chaser when he won over this distance at Cheltenham back in December last year. He returned with a decent third, twelve-and-a-half lengths behind Senior Chief who reopposes today. It’s a question of whether he will suit a galloping track and slightly better ground than soft. Has been well-aimed at this race to try and deliver. 13/2 (William Hill).

    Henry’s Friend looks like a decent each-way bet, if you consider his Grade Two win at Ascot denying Kilbeg King in a thriller. He made a seasonal reappearance over hurdles, but suits fences much better. Runs for the Ben Pauling team who picked up a Grade Two winner yesterday. 12/1 (General).

     

    Newcastle

    Gold Gino

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    2:10 – Fighting Fifth Hurdle (Grade One) – Sir Gino @ 11/10 (William Hill, Boylesports)

    Super-sub Sir Gino replaces Constitution Hill. But he isn’t just some run of the mill second-season hurdler. This horse bolted up the hill and Cheltenham and went clear up the run-in at Aintree against the Triumph Hurdle second. Despite a well-bred Grade One winner in Mystical Power coming over to plunder a big prize for Willie Mullins, Sir Gino has shown more class.

     

    Bow To Redknapp

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    3:20 – Rehearsal Handicap Chase (Premier H’cap) – Bowtogreatness @ 15/2 (William Hill)

    Bowtogreatness showed great class in handicap company last time out, beating a decent Kim Bailey horse who won Chepstow beforehand. He also ran against two subsequent winners in a Cheltenham novice chase who have backed the form up for him to go well here, under a lenient four-pound rise for the in-form Pauling team.

    Neon Moon has been pretty consistent this season and put up an admirable performance against Chianti Classico at Ascot at the start of the month. He won first time out at Chepstow and looks to be riding the crest of a wave in the handicap. His window seems narrow, so this may the last chance to see the best of him before the spring. 8/1 (General).

  • Four To Follow – Chase The Value

    Four To Follow – Chase The Value

    It’s the second week of the very best racing before Christmas, as we have out first domestic Group One, the Betfair Chase. There’s also competitive action at Ascot too plus a big handicap to decipher at Haydock as well. Let’s get stuck in.

     

    Haydock

    Never Too Far Away

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    2:30 – Betfair Stayers’ Handicap Hurdle (Premier H’cap) – Doyen Quest @ 3/1 (William Hill)

    Fresh from his Cheltenham success a week ago, the Skelton team have decided to put Doyen Quest in a slightly upgraded position. He may carry a five-pound penalty for his win, but is also five pounds well-in on the handicap which cancels that out. He’s been ultra-consistent since February and hasn’t seen third place or lower in six runs. He can once again improve and may be put away for a tilt at the Pertemps in March.

    Making his reappearance is Kerryhill for Ruth Jefferson. Largely left out of the picture after winning the Grade Two River Don Novices’ Hurdle at Doncaster in February, winning by seven-and-a half lengths. He does have form in the book from that race, with The Newest One winning on seasonal reappearance in October. A definite talent over hurdles, he won’t mind the ground or the weight he’s been dealt in this contest. Well worth keeping an eye on at 11/1 (BetVictor, Betfred).

    One horse I’m willing to give another try to is Push The Button for the in-form Twiston-Davies team. He wasn’t too disgraced in October at Cheltenham. And if you look at his breeding, his half-brother won twice over two-and-a-half and stepped up well to three miles. The same can be said for this second-season hurdler, and the step up in trip may be what he needs. 14/1 (William Hill).

     

    Repeat Winners

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    3:05 – Betfair Chase (Grade One) – Royale Pagaille @ 4/1 (General)

    This has the hallmarks of one of the best renewals of the Betfair Chase in years. But the trend with this race is repeat winners always have an advantage. And Royal Pagaille fits the bill. With rain expected on Saturday the ground will turn softer which will be to Royal Pagaille’s benefit. Second-season chasers are often found out at this level, and the Irish don’t have a good record in the race. The odds stack in his favour.

     

    Ascot

    Ready To Purr

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    2:05 – Berkshire National H’cap Chase – Kitty’s Light @ 5/1 (William Hill)

    Not many horses can handle good ground over marathon trips, but this early season target comes into the favour of one. Kitty’s Light can perform to the back end of the jumps season. But since the ground is good, it plays into his advantage. He can try to turn back the years to 2023 when he pulled off a remarkable hattrick of Eider Chase, Scottish National and bet365 Gold Cup.

     

    Golden Charm

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    2:45 – Howden Ascot Hurdle (Grade Two) – Golden Ace @ 2/1 (General)

    With all the allowances given to Golden Ace, this may well be a penalty kick. She won over the median distance last time out at the April meeting at Cheltenham, coming off the back of an unexpected Festival win beating Brighterdaysahead. With the boys giving her weight, and a couple on penalties themselves, this should be easy enough for the mare.

  • Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day Three Tips

    Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day Three Tips

    It’s the first big festival of the jumps season, as we go back to Cheltenham for the November meeting. Day Three looks to be competitive once more with the Greatwood Hurdle taking centre stage. Plus we have a big staying handicap chase that could give some clues for the marathon races this year. One last time, let’s dive into Day Three

     

    Prim And Proper

    1:45 – mallardjewllers.com Novices’ Limited Handicap Chase – Primoz @ 7/2 (General)

    Primoz was a good winner in a handicap hurdle up at Ayr at the end of last season but improved massively when starting over the fences for the first time at Wetherby. He beat experienced opposition Pay The Piper by two lengths and travelled up with the pace. The step up in trip looks natural and if there’s a strong pace on, he’ll be dangerous.

     

    …He’s Running At Cheltenham?

    2:55 – Holland Cooper Handicap Chase (Premier H’cap) – Does He Know @ 5/1 (William Hill, Unibet)

    An experienced chaser at the marathon trip, Does He Know produced as good a run as he could muster when returning from a wind op. Despite leading he faded but finished a good fourth from two good horses. He won this race back in 2022 off a mark of 152 and is two pounds lower than that today, which makes him look an attractive proposition.

    Surrey Quest also warrants close consideration, with a good reappearance record. The numbers read 173112, losing by a neck after a break in the Scottish Grand National. He shouldn’t mind the good ground, and the best time is to catch him now, fresh. Only up four pounds from his neck defeat last time, he can sneak into the places at 17/2 (William Hill).

     

    What Have You Done To Make You Feel Proud?

    3:30 – Unibet Greatwood Handicap Hurdle (Premier H’cap) – Fiercely Proud @ 16/1 (William Hill)

    Despite a less-than-ideal prep, when falling at Ascot and running loose at the October meeting, I still have high hopes for Fiercely Proud. He’s been campaigned with this particular early season aim and matches a lot of the trends that previous horses have had. He’s a second season hurdler who has won at Cheltenham previously and races off a good weight. The big price takes into consideration his prep runs, but I still have faith that he’ll turn up good.

    Anyharminasking returned to Cheltenham with a good performance behind Wyenot at the October meeting to finish third. He was down the field in last year’s running of the race but is now two pounds lower than that mark today. He has a liking for good ground and can improve for his earlier run, despite being a seven-year-old. 25/1 (General).

    Cracking Rhapsody looks a shrewd long-shot bet, taking into consideration his 1L third in the Scottish Champion Hurdle back in April. He blew the cobwebs away at Hexham last time out to finish a not too distant fourth at Hexham in a handicap hurdle. He’s most likely to be seen up North, but connections think he’s good enough to compete on the biggest stage. 25/1 (William Hill).

     

    Favouring Fortune

    4:00 – Junior Jumpers Open NH Flat Race (Listed) – Fortune De Mer @ 4/1 (General)

    Despite losing to a resurging Block Rockin Beats, I was still taken with Fortune De Mer on his first performance under rules. He took the odd decision of being held up in the rear, on day that favoured front runners, but weaved his way through the melee. Eventually he went six lengths clear of the rest of his rivals up the hill. He does come up against a tough Irish challenger, but this is a narrow field and can showcase his talent once more.

  • Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day Two Tips

    Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day Two Tips

    It’s the first big festival of the jumps season, as we go back to Cheltenham for the November meeting. Day Two features the Paddy Power Gold Cup.

     

    London Waters

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    12:35 – JCB Triumph Trial Juvenile Hurdle (Grade Two) – East India Dock @ 9/4 (General)

    Normally I wouldn’t tip juveniles, but East India Dock represents something. For one, he represents the connections from last year’s Cheltenham November win. For two, he won on good ground by a considerable distance. In the three weeks that have past he may have improved, so don’t take so lightly on him. Plus, his trainer is operating at a 23% strike rate. Consistent form for an in-form stable.

    Also, take a chance om Static, each-way. His form reads well, especially finishing within a neck of Liam Swagger at Wetherby. He clearly has a liking for these conditions and can act on them for an in-form trainer in Olly Murphy. 6/1 (General).

     

    A Technical Problem

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    1:10 – Steel Plate & Sections Ltd Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap Chase – Transmission @ 4/1 (William Hill)

    Transmission makes a lot of sense. One is the fact that he’s arguably been treated by the handicapper to become second weight. The second is that Hyland won in some style at yesterday’s fixture. With form like that, and a top jockey on board (conditional or not), he’s a force to be reckoned with.

    Each-way placings belong to Jimmy The Digger, who finished second last time out at the October meeting. He showed a lot of promise that day and will improve for a lot from his runner-up finish. 10/1 (William Hill).

     

    The L’Eau Cheltenham Sun

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    1:45 – Arkle Challenge Trophy Trial Novices’ Chase (Grade Two) – L’Eau Du Sud @ 10/11 (William Hill, BetVictor)

    After Sir Alex Ferguson and Ged Mason achieved a double victory in Bahrain with Spirit Dancer, they’re most likely complete a double with L’Eau Du Sud. After running out a 10L at Stratford, he looked like winning potential at Graded level. This looks like easy pickings for a horse that soon compete in Grade One Chases in the near future.

     

    Destiny Calls

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    2:20 – Paddy Power Gold Cup (Premier H’cap) – Ginny’s Destiny @ 11/4 (General)

    Ginny’s Destiny has been the bet of the meeting, since entries were made public. He follows the same page as Stage Star, no prep run and off a mark of 155. Despite racing off a true mark, he represents a great chance for trainer who has won this race twice with Stage Star, Al Ferof and the lesser Caid Du Berlais. Ginny’s Destiny has every quality that Stage Star possesses.

    Another that should be taken note of is In Excelsis Deo for the Harry Fry stable. The trainer has already put a line through his Galway run and should be taken on his run back in April in a limited handicap chase over course and distance by nearly five lengths. With nearly the same conditions, he can certainly operate as an each-way angle at 12/1 (William Hill).

  • Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day One Tips

    Four To Follow – Cheltenham November Meeting: Day One Tips

    It’s the first big festival of the jumps season, as we go back to Cheltenham for the November meeting. Day One looks to be competitive with a novice chase and a novice hurdle with plenty of talent. Plus, we’ve action over the cross-country track too. Let’s dive in on Day One

     

    Nothing Much…

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    1:10 – Lycetts Insurance Brokers Conditional Jockeys H’cap Hurdle – Whatsupwithyou @ 15/2 (William Hill)

    The first contest at Cheltenham looks a humdinger of a handicap, with plenty of emerging talent both equine and human. With a dry Autumn, good ground horses are still the ones to side with and Whatsupwithyou has been consistent on his last four runs, including on good ground. He reappeared at Fontwell and was denied half a length in the finish but remains on the same mark today. Conditional Callum Pritchard takes off 10 pounds which sees him tumble down the handicap. Pritchard also has a decent strike rate with three wins and four placings in his last 11 rides.

    A horse making his seasonal reappearance in this contest is Il Va De Soi. Despite most of his victories coming on soft ground, he has the make-up of an improving six-year-old. He dominated on his final appearance at Uttoxeter scoring by five lengths. A change of jockey to Alice Stevens has also shown improvement, with the conditional winning twice and placing once on three rides on this mount. A definite player at 14/1 (William Hill).

    An ultra-consistent horse in the race is Stay If U Want To for the O’Neill stable. Despite being no match for the winner on reappearance at Wincanton he has still never found outside the top two in all hurdle starts. He’s already low in the handicap off rating but is further improved with a relatively new name in Benjamin Macey. Could find the frame once more at 22/1 (William Hill).

     

    Buddy, This One’s For You

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    1:45 – Mucking Brilliant Novices’ Chase (Listed) – Buddy One @ 11/2 (William Hill)

    Running off peak hurdle form after finishing fourth in both Cheltenham and Punchestown Stayers’ Hurdles, Buddy One wasn’t at his best last time out in a three-runner chase at Wexford. However, I’m willing to forgive that run and base it off his debut win at Galway when if he jumped well and went clear up the homestraight. Given his course form over hurdles and likes good ground, he looks a more qualified candidate than the top two British hopes

     

    Cross The Cheltenham Countryside

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    2:55 – Glenfarclas Cross Country H’cap Chase– Tommie Beau @ 11/2 (William Hill)

    With the Festival Cross Country Chase now turned back to a handicap, this could offer some valuable clues for that prestigious contest in around five months. But looking at the competition now, I’m going against Delta Work and siding with Tommie Beau.

    He’s a stayer who’s versatile on ground, but has a preference for better ground. Form is in the book too, when beating subsequent Cheltenham chase winner Lisnamult Lad back over hurdles at Cartmel in May. He weakened last time out after leading in the Durham National at Sedgefield, a race he had won the year before. He looks well-handicapped and has apparently schooled well over banks according to his trainer.

    Representing France, Sweet David comes into this race in very consistent form. He lost out by a nose contesting a X-County chase in France last time out, and was seven lengths behind dual Grand National finisher Roi Mage two starts ago. Given his vast experience, he looks mightily well-handicapped in this contest and the French do have a habit of surprising a few. 8/1 (General) to shock once more.

     

    Isn’t It Grand?

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    3:30 – Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle (Grade Two) – Valgrand @ 6/4 (General)

    There was only one eyecatcher at the October meeting, in fact for the whole early season. Valgrand wowed everybody when hacking up by 17 lengths from the front. And whilst Potters Charm was good, he didn’t produce the same wow factor. Dan Skelton, despite complaints of a backlog due to the ground, has been the man to side with for the early part of this season. And this hose looks pretty special.

  • Cheltenham November Meeting Day 1 | Buddy up

    Cheltenham November Meeting Day 1 | Buddy up

    The next three days at the Cheltenham November Meeting is always a good weekend for jumps fans

    Yes, the field sizes have fallen short due to good ground, but we still have some classy horses to shout about with Jonbon and Potters Charm.

    So, here are my fancies for day one.

     

    1:10 Cheltenham – Littlefoot @ 20/1 with Bet365 (5 places) – 1pt EW

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    The British handicapper has been harsh to Littlefoot by giving him six pounds just for crossing the Irish Sea, but I think there’s enough in his form book to suggest he can outrun his odds.

    This selection is based purely on form as he finished a nose second to Lucky Lyreen who is now rated 133 on bumper debut in December 2022.

    After that, he finished second to the now 150-rated chaser Nick Rockett and second to the three-time Grade 1 winner Dancing City.

    That bumper form in early 2023 is nice, and he went on to run well in a bumper behind Walk Away Harry at the 2023 Punchestown Festival.

    He found himself squeezed between runners that day, but all the right horses (Irish Panther, Dr Eggman, Lecky Watson, and He’s My Hero) finished ahead of him that day.

    Two starts ago, he broke his maiden at Ballinrobe off a very slow pace before finishing a promising third in handicap company in September.

    The cheekpieces that were first applied two starts ago remain for this weekend’s challenge, and you get the impression that this has been a plan considering his regular rider is the conditional jockey Liam McKenna.

    He needs to show he can handle this company, but with his age and profile, he’s not the worst 20/1-shot in the world.

     

    1:45 Cheltenham – Buddy One @ 7/2 with William Hill – 2pt Win

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    Buddy One was the wrong price earlier this week, and I explained this on both X and the Only Fools Love Horses podcast.

    His current price of 7/2 is probably about right if not a touch too big for a horse of his ability.

    He is the only one of these horses to run well in Grade 1 hurdle events, notably in the Stayers’ Hurdle, Liverpool Hurdle, and Champion Stayers Hurdle at Punchestown.

    Considering he gets 3lbs and 5lbs in weight from Hyland and Springwell Bay respectively, he’s definitely best at the weights.

    Furthermore, of his three trips to Cheltenham, he’s won a handicap on the Old Course, finished third in the 2023 Martin Pipe, and finished fourth in the already mentioned 2024 Stayers’ Hurdle.

    So, he likes Cheltenham, and he likes good ground.

    That’s because he won on chase debut on the surface earlier this season and he finished second to Sa Fureur in a Grade 3 novice hurdle on good in February 2023.

    It was bold from connections to send him into open company against Heart Wood and Corbetts Cross last time out, and although his jumping wasn’t amazing, making all at a slow pace on soft ground probably didn’t suit him.

    I half believe connections have planned Buddy One for this race due to his liking for Prestbury Park, so with the class he has under the bonnet, he should go well here.

     

    2:55 Cheltenham – Busselton @ 7/1 with William Hill – 1pt EW

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    Joseph O’Brien revealed in his stable tour with Sporting Life that Busselton has schooled over cross country fences recently, so I hope he takes to the course at Cheltenham on Friday.

    O’Brien has kept him fit through the summer with four runs since June, one of which was a winning one.

    That’s a positive, and he also likes good ground based on his previous form.

    His notable efforts include his second in the 2022 Blazers Handicap on good to yielding, a race that saw Fan De Blues (the third) improve to win two more handicap chases.

    After that, he won the Kerry National over three miles on good ground when Hewick, a subsequent King George winner, fell at the last.

    On those pieces of form, a mark of 141 is workable this weekend in what looks a winnable race.

    Just looking at the head of the market, Conflated, as much as he’s a decent animal, would have concerns on good ground and he’s not a guaranteed stayer over an extended 3m5f.

    Sweet David could cause some issues as he has some nice French form with my beloved Roi Mage and he’s a cross country specialist.

    However, out of not knowing too much about him, Busselton is my fancy.