Tottenham v Wolves: Goals, Bets and Player Angles

Tottenham welcome Wolves to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium today, with Ange’s men desperate to return to winning ways. Spurs have won just 1 of their last 6 Premier League games and are now begining to face some criticism from the fans and the wider audience. Since sacking Gary O’Neil, Wolves have won both of their two games to nil – 3-0 vs Leicester and 2-0 vs Man United on Boxing Day.

Tottenham’s open and frantic style of football has led to plenty of goals this campaign. In their 9 home league games, there has been a total of 40 goals, averaging 4.44 goals per game. Tottenham have conceded in every single game since their opening day 4-0 victory over Everton. They have also only failed to score once vs Arsenal, seeing BTTS land in 7 consecutive league home games.

Wolves have also been great entertaininers this season. They have scored in 16 of their 18 league games, seeing BTTS land in 13/18 league games. This game looks almost guarenteed for goals and action.

To pair the BTTS selection I am looking at Wolves’ striker Strand Larsen. The Norweigen has adapted well in his first Premier League season and has been a reliable shot on target pick. He has seen 1+ Shot on Target in 13/18 Premier League matches. Wolves and Larsen should certainly get chances today, with Spurs giving up chances for fun at the minute. Romero & Van de Ven remain out, meaning Spurs could even have a centre back partnership of Gray & Bissouma today.

TIP: Larsen Shot on Target & Both Teams to Score @ 2.15 (Bet365)

Match Context, Form Lines and Tactical Observations

Context matters when assessing value in markets that involve goals and individual player involvement, and this fixture sits firmly in the ‘open game’ category given Spurs’ home numbers and Wolves’ attacking record. Both sides have shown defensive volatility and scoring consistency that makes BTTS and shot-based props sensible areas to explore rather than heavy favourites or match-winner bets.

For bettors aged 18+, the approach should be to treat this as a statistical play: target markets that reflect expected chance volume and player involvement rather than punting on single-event outcomes. Always consider stake sizing and bookmaker pricing when assessing whether the market odds represent genuine value.

Spurs’ Home Goal Trends and Defensive Weaknesses

Spurs’ home league games averaging 4.44 goals per game is a clear red flag for defensive stability, with consistent concessions pointing to transitional vulnerabilities when full-backs push forward. That pattern increases the probability of both teams finding the net and of opposing forwards and attacking midfielders getting shots on target against a high-line or rotated centre-back pairing.

Injury absences to senior defenders force tactical tweaks that can amplify both chance creation and defensive exposure, so markets like BTTS, over 2.5 goals and opponent shots on target become more closely correlated with match flow. When Spurs field less-experienced defenders, the likelihood of higher-quality opponents’ shot counts increases, supporting shot-based player props.

How Spurs’ injuries affect defensive organisation

Missing Romero and Van de Ven pushes Spurs to alternative pairings that lack the same aerial presence and experience in clearing crosses and set-piece situations. Opposition managers will plan to exploit mismatches with movement and late runs into the box, creating shooting opportunities for attackers and secondary goal attempts from rebounds.

Wolves’ Recent Form, Attack Patterns and Setups

Wolves have shown a marked improvement since the managerial change, with two clean sheets and fresh confidence in counter-attacking phases that produce quick, direct opportunities. Their forward line, led by Strand Larsen, benefits from transitional moments where Spurs’ aggressive approach leaves space between the lines.

Statistically, Wolves’ high rate of scoring across the season makes them a credible source of shots and expected goals even against stronger defensive sides, and the current run suggests the team can both create and convert chances when given time on the ball. For bettors this underlines targeting individual shot metrics and team attacking totals as complementary plays to BTTS.

Larsen’s shot metrics and expected involvement

Larsen has registered 1+ shots on target in the majority of his appearances, which aligns with a striker who occupies central areas and benefits from crosses and cutbacks into the box. His positioning and finishing record in the top flight to date make his shot-on-target prop a statistically backed play rather than a speculative punt.

Player Focus: Strand Larsen Analytics and Chances

Reviewing Larsen’s per-90 numbers shows consistent involvement in Wolves’ attacking phases and a tendency to be the focal point for crosses, through-balls and set-piece flick-ons. When Wolves have possession in the final third Larsen’s movement creates chances both for himself and for team-mates, increasing his likelihood of at least one shot on target.

Correlation with Spurs’ defensive lapses strengthens the case for Larsen’s shot-based props, but the market still requires discipline: consider current lineups, substitutions and how Spurs’ midfield may press or allow time on the ball. If early match events favour Wolves’ counters, Larsen becomes more active and the shot-on-target market can swing in-play.

Staking ideas, risk management and market timing

Prefer small, proportionate stakes on player and goal-related props compared with full-match result bets; treat these as part of a diversified portfolio rather than single-ticket solutions. Consider scaling stakes based on match status, such as backing Larsen shots on target pre-match and increasing or cashing out depending on early possession metrics or injury news.

Betting Angles: BTTS, Shots and Alternative Markets

Primary angles for this fixture are Both Teams To Score, Larsen 1+ Shot on Target, and combination markets that link team scoring with player involvement, which often offer better value than standalone heavy favourites. Secondary markets like total shots in match, shots on target aggregate and second-half specific props can also be worthwhile if early patterns indicate an open game.

Alternate strategies include small multiples that pair BTTS with player shots or shots on target for both teams’ key attackers, as this captures match flow rather than isolated outcomes. Avoid highly leveraged accumulators and maintain strict bankroll rules given the natural variance in player-prop markets.

In-Play Considerations and Live Market Adjustments

Live markets allow informed adjustments: if Spurs concede an early goal or Wolves show superior control in wide areas, see how that affects shot volumes and in-play BTTS pricing before committing further. Watch for tactical substitutions that either shore up Spurs’ defence or add another attacking outlet for Wolves, as those moves directly influence shot-based lines.

Use live data — such as possession in the final third, shots on target within the opening 20 minutes and expected goals (xG) momentum — to guide any additional stakes, and never chase losses; pause and reassess if the match develops contrary to pre-match expectations.

Practical Responsible Gambling Advice for Football Bettors

This content is intended for readers aged 18 and over and is informational rather than a recommendation to stake money. Always gamble responsibly, set limits on time and spend, and treat betting as entertainment with an accepted cost rather than a way to make money.

If you feel betting is becoming a problem, reach out to support services such as GamCare and use bookmaker tools for deposit limits, time-outs and self-exclusion. Never stake more than you can afford to lose and avoid using betting to solve financial issues.

How to Use Bookmaker Comparisons and Offers Safely

Bookmaker comparison tools are useful to identify price differences, market coverage and responsible gambling features such as betting limits and self-exclusion options. When reviewing offers, prefer operators that display clear terms, robust account controls and transparent bonus conditions to avoid surprises when withdrawing funds.

You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly, and always read small print on free bet or bonus promotions before participating. Remember that offers change regularly and the best match for you depends on markets, cashout options and support for responsible gambling.

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Is Both Teams To Score a sensible bet here?

Given Spurs’ home goal frequency and Wolves’ scoring record this season BTTS is a logical market to consider as part of a diversified betting approach. Always size stakes conservatively and avoid framing BTTS as a guaranteed outcome.

How reliable are Shot on Target stats for Larsen?

Shots on target is a direct, measurable stat and Larsen’s history of 1+ SoT in multiple matches makes the metric a robust basis for a player prop. Remember that in-game events, substitutions and pitch conditions can alter those probabilities.

Should injuries to Romero change your view of Spurs?

Yes, absences to experienced centre-backs increase the chance of defensive gaps and can make Spurs more susceptible to counter-attacks and aerial threats. Factor injury news into any pre-match stake and consider live information before increasing exposure.

What market alternatives suit this high-scoring fixture?

Alternatives include total goals over 2.5, total match shots, and combined player-team props such as Larsen 1+ SoT & BTTS. Each market reflects different aspects of match flow; choose markets you understand and can monitor in-play.

How should I stake on player props versus match bets?

Allocate a smaller percentage of your bankroll to player props and use flat stakes or percentage staking rules to manage variance. Treat props as complementary to larger match bets, not as a substitute for disciplined bankroll management.

Where can I compare bookmaker offers and free bets?

Our comparison pages list current bookmaker free bets and bonus offers so you can compare terms and available markets. Always check eligibility and wagering requirements before claiming an offer, and never chase losses.