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Home Horse Racing

York & Sandown Weekend Racing Tips: Firm-Ground Picks

Oliver Holmes by Oliver Holmes
January 16, 2026
in Horse Racing
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York & Sandown Weekend Racing Tips: Firm-Ground Picks

York and Sandown: Weekend Racing and Tips

This page expands our weekend racing preview with deeper form analysis, tactical notes and responsible-betting guidance to complement the selections above.

Please remember all betting content is for readers aged 18+ and is intended for informational purposes. Gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.


This week, the eyes of the sporting nation is on Edgbaston as The Ashes gets underway, read our preview here, which puts the racing towards the back of our minds. It’s a quiet week, but there’s action from York and Sandown to get stuck into, including a big sprint handicap. Here’s four to follow this weekend.

SATURDAY

Better Be Quick

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York – 3:05 – Race To The Ebor Grand Cup (Listed) – QUICKTHORN @ 7/4 (BetVictor, William Hill, BetUK)

The ground at York won’t be similar to the Ashes wicket this weekend. Hard and fast, dust will be flying. And one that could scorch the turf is Quickthorn, who’s name suggests is pretty fast. His Yorkshire Cup win, which was his last, was just under three and a half minutes, which was considered fast by the clock. He also looks to be the horse that is most suited to firm ground, despite never winning on the surface. Jason Hart picks up the ride in decent form, and last rode him when desperately losing the 2021 Ebor to Sonnyboyliston. It’s not a great renewal of the race, and the field shouldn’t be able to keep up.

Caught Paddy, Bowled Ryan

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York – 3:40 – Macmillan Sprint Heritage Handicap – Catch The Paddy @ 10/1 (10Bet)

Once again, the firm ground will play a key factor in this sprint. High draws should favour, but don’t forget the low numbers too, they’ve dominated the last few years. But the pace looks to come from the high draws, and Catch The Paddy will be up for it. Firm ground is his friend, after winning last season over C&D in a 2-Y-O handicap. The form from the Gimcrack has worked a treat, and almost paid off at the Dante meeting. He’s been risen a lenient 2lbs, and might be hard to stop on the rattling ground at York. Kevin Ryan could discover his form he left behind at York last May.

There are also two Tim Easterby runners, who just adores having winners in Yorkshire, and had a purple patch in this race between 2013 and 2017, winning three out of five. He runs Spirit Of Applause, who’s form shows that firm ground is perfect for him. Despite being at his highest mark, he has been dealt a good card in the weights. He’s drawn on the inside in stall six, which won’t be a problem, and can keep the Yorkshire winners coming for the Easterby team. The Great Habton trainer has had seven of his last nine winners in God’s Own County. 12/1 is a general price.

Buccabay also looks an interesting each-way shout. Harry Davies is a great claiming jockey, having a Saturday winner last week at Haydock. Eve Johnson-Houghton is in good form too. A great partnership like that can produce a winner, and Buccabay looks to be on the improve. Fourth at Windsor shook a few more cobwebs off, and can pick up a place at 20/1 (General).

Buick And Boughey To Scurry Away

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Sandown – 2:50 – Scurry Stakes (Listed) – Perdika @ 3/1 (General)

I’ve been following this horse for a while, and she came into her own when winning at Chantilly last time out. The ground described was ‘good’, but as is with French going readings they are always wrong. Good means good-to-firm in our reading. Which might explain why she’s always not got close enough to the winner. Firm ground is unexplored territory in this country, but it looks like her friend, along with the allowances she receives. A high draw is not bad on the sprint track at Sandown, particularly on firm ground.

Watch out for Katey Kontent who loves the firm ground, after winning her first two races on it as a juvenile. She’s a quick horse, and could set a blistering time if she’s on song. Might be worth to have theses two in a reverse forecast too. But she’s overpriced at 18/1 (BetVictor).

SUNDAY

Running Redemption

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Chantilly – PRIX DE DIANE (GROUP ONE) – Running Lion @ 11/4 (Unibet, Betfred)

My Oaks pick Running Lion didn’t fancy running in the English Oaks, which caused Oisin Murphy to give us his best John McEnroe impression. But David Howden revealed before the Epsom Classic that this was the preferred target. She has plenty of talent, there’s no doubt, and can run on the ground if the French haven’t deceived us with the going report again. Blue Rose Cen is her main rival after her success in the French 1000 Guineas, and may look for bigger things for the Head team. Novakai would also be good each-way money, after Soul Sister pumped up the Musidora form. Novakai, for Karl Burke, is 25/1 (BetUK)

The very best of luck!

How to read form and track the key trends

When assessing the weekend cards, focus on recent runs, track-specific form and any course-and-distance performances for each horse.

Pay attention to small changes such as weight, jockey switches and the official going to identify horses that may improve on paper.

Why firm ground is shaping this weekend’s races

Firm going amplifies pace and often rewards horses with high cruising speed rather than those who rely on grip or stamina reserves.

Expect faster times and fewer late-possession finishes, which makes early position and draw more influential in sprints and middle distances.

Trainer and jockey changes worth noting this weekend

Jockey bookings like Jason Hart for Quickthorn and in-form riders such as Harry Davies can meaningfully change a horse’s chances on the day.

Similarly, trainers who target specific tracks with local advantage often return better rates, so weight recent stable form when assessing value.

Handicap picking: how to identify value runners

Look for lightly penalised horses with recent form lines that read better than their official rating suggests, especially when ground suits.

Each-way value is most credible where races have 8–12 runners and where bookmakers pay at least four places on bigger fields.

Sprints versus middle distances: pace and draw impact

Sprint races at York and Sandown will hinge on early speed and draw, whereas middle-distance contests reward positioning and stamina balance.

Use sectional times, recent course form and race shape to build a likely pace map before committing to a wager.

Quickthorn form and suitability analysis for York

Quickthorn’s timeform-style form shows he handles fast gallops and recent wins indicate a readiness for this type of ground.

A tactical ride from Jason Hart who knows the horse could be decisive if the pace collapses or the ground stays true.

Catch The Paddy and sprint handicap pace analysis

Catch The Paddy benefits from a high cruising speed and a record that suggests he handles firm ground, making him dangerous in a true-run sprint.

Watch the draw and early market reaction for clues on whether connections expect front-running tactics or to sit just off the pace.

Perdika and Sandown Scurry Stakes tactical notes

Perdika’s French form suggests she relishes fast ground and may like the track configuration at Sandown where a high draw can be useful.

Consider a forecast or small each-way ticket where French form has translated well to British sprints in recent seasons.

Using market movement and trainer comments to refine picks

Market drift or shortening in the hours before the race often contains useful information, especially from connections and syndicates.

Combine market signals with trainer notes published on race day to judge whether a horse’s run style or equipment changes are meaningful.

How to size up Chantilly’s Group One contest

Group One contests such as the Prix de Diane require a balanced read of class, draw and how each filly handles the going at Chantilly.

Running Lion’s form and the French 1000 Guineas formline from Blue Rose Cen need parallel analysis before backing in a bookable stake.

Responsible betting advice and 18+ age guidance

All content is aimed at readers aged 18+ and is intended for information only; it should not be treated as financial advice.

Set staking limits, never chase losses and use bookmaker tools such as deposit limits and self-exclusion if gambling becomes a concern.

Staking plans and practical bankroll guidance

Adopt a flat-staking or percentage plan to minimise emotional decision-making, with stakes sized to your disposable entertainment budget.

Never stake money needed for bills, rent or essentials and seek help if gambling is causing harm.

Where to find help and support for gambling issues

If gambling is causing difficulties, contact GamCare, Gamblers Anonymous or your bookmaker’s support team for confidential help and self-help tools.

Consider time-outs and financial controls on accounts to manage activity responsibly and reduce risk.

How to use bookmaker comparisons and offers sensibly

Use our bookmaker comparison tools to view odds and offers side-by-side, and always check terms and conditions before using a promotion.

Offers should be treated as convenience to enhance value, not as incentives to bet more or chase losses.

Practical ticket construction and small stakes strategies

For listed handicaps and sprints, keep permutation bets small and favour singles or doubles where your edge is clearer.

In pattern races, consider conservative each-way or forecast plays rather than large multi-leg accumulators on uncertain form.

Quick checklist before placing a bet on race day

Confirm the official going, final declarations, jockey bookings and any late non-runners before committing funds to a bet.

Re-check weather, field size and the betting market so your pre-race assumptions still hold at post time.

Weekend summary and practical takeaways for bettors

This weekend’s key themes are firm ground favouring speed, draw influence in sprints and the importance of up-to-date market and trainer information.

Focus on horses whose profiles match the going and pace map, and use responsible staking to keep wagering under control.

You can explore current bookmaker offers and compare odds and free bets via our dedicated comparison page: BestOfBets free bets comparison.

For players interested in casino offers, our affiliated casino bonus listings are available here: BestOfBets casino bonuses.

Can I rely on these tips to make money consistently

Tips are intended to inform and highlight value, not to guarantee returns. Welcome any bet as entertainment and accept the inherent risk.

What is the best way to follow last-minute changes

Check confirmations from the racecourse, official going updates and final declarations, and monitor live market moves before placing bets.

Are free-bet offers safe to use and compare

Free-bet offers can add value when used responsibly; always read the T&Cs and compare offers on our free bets page to find suitable options.

How should I size bets for handicaps and listed races

Size stakes to your bankroll and risk tolerance; smaller, more frequent stakes preserve capital and limit volatility in handicap betting.

What should I watch for in sprint handicap pace maps

Identify likely front-runners and horses that prefer to race prominently, since early pace often decides sprint handicaps on firm ground.

Is foreign form, such as French wins, transferable to UK tracks

French form can translate well when the going and distance are similar; evaluate surface, travel and race conditions before judging transferability.

Where can I get support if gambling becomes a problem

If gambling causes issues, contact organisations like GamCare or use bookmaker self-help tools; seek professional advice for sustained problems.

Are the bookmaker links on this page affiliate links

Some links may be affiliate links which help fund our editorial content; they are provided for convenience and comparison, not as pressure to bet.

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