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Liverpool v Tottenham: EFL Cup Semi Preview & Betting Tips

Discrete Tipster by Discrete Tipster
January 16, 2026
in Football
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Liverpool v Tottenham: EFL Cup Semi Preview & Betting Tips

Liverpool v Tottenham: EFL Semi Preview & Tips

This preview expands on the existing page content to give a detailed, structured guide to the Liverpool v Tottenham EFL Cup semi-final second leg at Anfield.

Liverpool welcome Tottenham to Anfield on Thursday night for the second leg of the EFL semi-final. Tottenham go into the second leg 1-0 up, with the winner set to face Newcastle at Wembley. Liverpool are eyeing up a comeback to book their place in yet another EFL Cup final, and Arne Slot’s first.

Liverpool have a great record in this competition recently after going on to win the cup in 2/3 previous seasons. The atmosphere at Anfield will be absolutely electric tonight and will certainly act as a 12th man for the Reds. Currently sat top of the Premier League, Arne Slot’s side have had an incredible first season under the Dutchman. They will be confident of overturning the 1-0 lead and progressing tonight, especially when you factor in their home form. Liverpool have scored 2 or more goals in 14 consecutive home games in all competitions. They have also beaten Spurs in 5/6 previous meetings at Anfield.

Despite a positive win and resolute performance at Brentford at the weekend, Tottenham are having a very poor season and have won just 8 of their previous 22 games in all competitions. A number of injuries has left Spurs vulnerable in defence and having to play most of the season without of their first-choice defenders. Liverpool will be licking their lips at this Spurs defence, a defence they scored 6 against and recorded a huge xG of 4.60 in December.

Mohammed Salah has been electric this season and has a great record with; 25 goals and 17 assists in all competitions. The Egyptian has a brilliant goal scoring record against Tottenham having scored 6 goals against them in his 6 previous appearances. He is the man for a big occasion and tonight is certainly one of those.

TIP: Liverpool To Qualify & Salah To Score Anytime @ 1.95

Form, injuries and tactical match-up at Anfield tonight

This section breaks down the key form lines, recent injuries and likely tactical approaches that could determine the tie over 90 minutes and extra time if necessary.

Liverpool home form and statistical attacking edge

Liverpool’s home numbers in recent weeks underline why they are favourites to overturn a one-goal deficit, with sustained attacking returns and a strong goals-per-game ratio at Anfield. The Reds’ ability to create high-quality chances from wide play and central combinations gives them an expected-goals (xG) advantage in many matches.

Expected starting XIs and formation clues to watch

Watch for an aggressive front three and a midfield pivot capable of quick transitions that enable Liverpool to overload Tottenham on the flanks. Slot’s likely 4-3-3 or similar variant aims to maintain width while ensuring Salah gets service into the box for finishing chances.

Set-piece threats, pressing patterns and counter risks

Liverpool’s set-piece delivery and coordinated pressing can unbalance defensive units under pressure, while quick counters remain a threat when Tottenham commit numbers forward. Spurs’ vulnerability on second balls and set plays is a key channel Liverpool can exploit tonight.

Tottenham defensive issues and recent performance trends

Tottenham arrive with defensive absences that have disrupted continuity and left gaps centrally and on the right-hand side of defence in particular. Their win rate in recent fixtures has slipped, and this lack of consistency is a relevant factor when considering in-play and pre-match markets.

How injuries affect Tottenham’s tactical options

Missing first-choice defenders means changes to shape and personnel, forcing Tottenham to adopt a more conservative block or to accept more individual duels. These alterations can reduce cohesion and increase susceptibility to wide overloads and diagonal runs into the penalty area.

Key players: Salah, Son and midfield battle to control game

Salah is the obvious attacking focal point given his record versus Spurs and overall season output, but Son’s movement and Tottenham’s creative midfielders can decide moments of transition. Controlling midfield tempo will be crucial; whoever wins that battle can tilt the tie in their favour.

Individual match-ups likely to influence the outcome

Look for Salah against whichever full-back is selected by Spurs and the duel between Liverpool’s deep-lying midfielder and Tottenham’s number 8 to shape passing lanes. These personal contests often dictate where chances are created and who finishes them.

Tactical angles for bettors: markets to consider responsibly

Rather than suggesting stakes or guarantees, this section describes markets that reflect the tactical picture, such as both teams to score, Salah anytime scorer, total match goals, and correct-score ranges. Consider market liquidity and bookie margins when comparing odds.

Bet sizing, market selection and responsible play advice

Exercise disciplined stake sizing and only consider bets you can afford to lose; treat selections as entertainment and not a route to income. If you choose to use bookmaker offers, view them as value-added options and compare across providers with our tools.

In-play scenarios and timing opportunities during the game

Early substitutions, yellow cards or an early Liverpool goal can open value in live markets, while Tottenham holding a lead after 60 minutes will alter both teams’ risk profiles. Watching initial 15 minutes for commitment levels often helps identify live-market opportunities.

For in-play considerations, keep an eye on how each team responds after set-pieces, corners and changes of tempo, as these moments frequently produce spikes in expected goals and goal attempts.

Statistical trends and what they imply for tonight’s result

Liverpool’s sequence of high-scoring home matches suggests an attacking consistency that is hard to underestimate, particularly against an injury-hit backline. Tottenham’s broader season inconsistencies make them unpredictable, so probability-based thinking is preferable to emotional backing.

Managerial decisions and possible substitutions to monitor

Substitution windows around 60–75 minutes often decide ties if one side tires or seeks fresh energy from wide players or holding midfielders. Keep track of potential double changes that can shift momentum quickly in a cup tie.

How to use bookmaker comparisons for informed choices

Use comparison tools to check lines, odds and available specials across bookmakers before placing a selection and to spot offers that suit your play style. Our comparison pages list typical markets and current sign-up propositions for those who choose to bet responsibly.

Remember: betting is for adults aged 18 and over only. Please gamble responsibly and seek help if betting stops being fun or affects your finances or wellbeing.

Match-day weather, pitch and crowd impact on play

Conditions such as a wet pitch or strong wind can favour direct play and limit intricate passing sequences, which is important when assessing likely goal flow. Anfield’s crowd will provide a psychological lift for Liverpool, but the pitch and match conditions should guide tactical expectations.

Summary of risk factors and practical betting notes

Key risk factors include injuries, refereeing decisions, early red cards and the psychological effect of the first-leg scoreline. Prioritise markets that account for these variables rather than speculative long-shot bets.

Our editorial content is independent and aims to inform readers; if you decide to place a wager, compare bookmaker offers and consider limits to reduce harm. You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly.

Guide to reading odds and implied probability for the match

Understanding implied probability from decimal odds helps you judge whether a market offers relative value against your assessment of likely outcomes. Convert odds to percentages and compare with your own estimated chances to see where mispricing may exist.

Post-match follow-up and why this tie matters for both clubs

The winner heads to Wembley and adds a tangible trophy target to their season, while the loser must reset focus on league objectives and squad management. The psychological effects of cup runs or exits can shape the short-term momentum for either side.

18+ only. If you are concerned about gambling, visit organisations such as GamCare or use bookmaker self-exclusion tools.

You can view current recommended free bet offers and bookmaker sign-up promotions at our free bets page: bestofbets.com/free-bets. For players interested in casino bonuses, our casino bonus page lists current offers for new customers: bestofbets.com/casino-bonus.

FAQ: Can Liverpool realistically overturn the deficit tonight?

Yes, Liverpool’s strong home form and attacking depth make a comeback plausible, but it depends on execution, injuries and game events; treat any bet as speculative and only for entertainment.

FAQ: How should I interpret Salah’s record versus Tottenham?

Salah’s record shows he often scores against Spurs, but past form is not a guarantee; consider current fitness, defensive match-ups and whether he is likely to start.

FAQ: What markets typically reflect this tie’s dynamics?

Markets such as both teams to score, over/under total goals, Salah anytime scorer and match result with extra time are commonly aligned with cup-tie dynamics.

FAQ: Are there in-play strategies suitable for this match?

Watch early game momentum, substitutions and set-piece frequency; these factors can indicate which live markets may offer reasonable value for cautious, small stakes.

FAQ: What are the main injury concerns to monitor before kick-off?

Keep an eye on confirmed absentees in defensive lines and any late fitness tests for attacking players, as both sides have had rotation and knocks this season.

FAQ: How do weather and pitch conditions affect the expected style?

Adverse weather may favour direct play and reduce precise passing, which can change both teams’ effectiveness in creating clear-cut chances.

FAQ: Where can I compare bookmaker odds and offers safely?

Use licensed comparison tools to check odds across firms and look for clear information on terms; never chase losses and only use offers if you meet the eligibility requirements.

FAQ: Who should seek help if betting becomes a problem?

If betting causes distress, financial strain or compulsive behaviour, seek support from organisations such as GamCare and consider using self-exclusion tools provided by licensed operators.

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