Aintree Day Racing Tips, Analysis and Selections
Detailed Race Notes, Form, Ground and Betting Angles
Below you’ll find expanded analysis and practical betting guidance to complement the selections already published for today’s Aintree and Wincanton cards.
This guidance is aimed at informed, responsible bettors aged 18+. Betting carries risk and should only be done for entertainment.
After two days of great racing at Cheltenham, Aintree’s Old Roan Chase Day headlines Sunday’s action on ITV and Racing TV.
This game tames lions, so when you land a nice-priced winner once in a while, it’s only fair to celebrate within reason.
https://twitter.com/ASymondsJourno/status/1850150909726052485
Yesterday, Lisnamult Lad won at 20/1 and Givemefive landed the spoils at 7/2 to put the column in good profit for the weekend.
Hoping to continue the form, here are today’s main plays.
1:15 Aintree – Petit Tonnerre @ 4/1 with William Hill – 1pt Win
I’m not a huge fan of backing Jonjo O’Neill-trained horses first-time-out, but it’s hard to leave Petit Tonnerre alone in the second at Aintree.
Speaking of the stable’s form, a few of their horses have needed the run, but both Johnnywho and Anyharminasking have flown the flag for the stable in good races on their seasonal return this week.
For a while, Petit Tonnerre was badly handicapped based on his French form of beating Heart Wood (now rated 151), but the handicapper has relented to give him a mark of 125 now.
That’s 10lbs below his last winning mark (February 2022), 14lbs below his mark when second to Red Risk in November 2022, and 15lbs below the rating he had when seventh in the 2023 County Hurdle.
https://twitter.com/RacingTV/status/1496135807136145421
During his time over fences last season, he finished second in a Grade 2 on his seasonal reappearance last year, so he does look extremely well-handicapped.
He also won on his first start for the yard after a 165-day break and he placed on good ground in November 2022.
Honestly, a mark of 125 should see him go very close if he’s ready to roll.
2:25 Aintree – Torn And Frayed @ 5/2 with Bet365 – 1pt Win
It only feels like last week since Torn And Frayed won a valuable 2m4f handicap chase on Trials Day in January 2022, so it’s amazing to see him now in veterans’ races!
I didn’t fancy him that day, but I remember reviewing the race as a very young lad! Just look at that haircut!
https://twitter.com/ASymondsJourno/status/1487805129994772482
Speaking of the race, that occurred on good ground which is similar conditions to today, and he won on good ground in a novice hurdle the season prior.
He won off 131 on that day at Cheltenham, so today’s official rating of 126 makes him well-handicapped
Furthermore, he runs well fresh as he finished a good third behind Annual Invictus on his seasonal reappearance in 2021 and, for a horse running after a 658-day break, his effort in the 2023 Paddy Power Gold Cup was admirable too.
He gets his ground today and could have the class edge against some more experienced rivals.
2:42 Wincanton – Le Ligerien @ 9/2 with Bet365 – 1pt Win
Le Ligerien has a good record when fresh and this Unibet Middle Distance Chase Series Venerans’ Handicap Chase Qualifier looks like a winnable race.
He won on yard debut for Joe Tizzard in February 2023 and his last two winning marks were 124 and 130, so today’s rating of 124 is workable.
After his last win, which came in this middle distance series at Kempton, he ran a brilliant race off 135 at Cheltenham but didn’t stay up the hill.
He’s seemingly in good form despite his age of 11, and he’s won on good ground four times before, so conditions should suit.
3:35 Aintree – Kamsinas @ 5/1 with Bet365 – 2pt Win
Although he has nearly top weight to carry, Kamsinas should have the class in the 2m handicap hurdle.
This seven-year-old did really well last year for Fergal O’Brien, starting with a facile Worcester success before finishing second to Lookaway in the Grade 2 Sky Bet Novices’ Hurdle.
The winner went on to finish second in the Greatwood, second in the Grade 1 Challow Novices’ Hurdle, and third in the Grade 1 Top Novices’ Hurdle.
Furthermore, the third (Idy Wood) won off 120 on his chase debut this week, the fourth (Williethebuilder) is rated 125, the fifth (Toto Too) is rated 132, and the sixth (Act Of Authority) is rated 126.
So, with a rating of 130, he should improve past this mark based on that form.
https://twitter.com/RacingTV/status/1728386572003762630
After that race, he won the Grade 2 Newton Novices’ Hurdle when beating Making Headway (now rated 127) and I Love My Baie (now rated 130), so the form is solid.
He won on good in February 2023 and this is one of his easiest races for a long time, so hopefully he can kickstart his season with a win today.
4:08 Aintree – Siog Geal @ 5/2 with William Hill – 1pt Win
It’s a rare selection from me in a bumper, especially for a horse on their first start, but I want to keep Siog Geal on my side.
There are good rumours that she is showing pleasing signs at home, and the form of her four-and-a-half-length point-to-point success has worked out.
https://twitter.com/B_GDMN17/status/1850473184740466770
The second, Jasmine d’Airy, bolted up on debut for Sam Curling at Tipperary and is now trained by Harry Derham after being sold for £120,000.
Jasmine d’Airy also chased home The Big Westerner, Henry de Bromhead’s £120,000 purchase, on her final point-to-point start.
As for Siog Geal’s pedigree, her dam is an unraced half-sister to a few half-decent Flat horses, notably Silver Quay who placed in a Class 2 handicap before going over obstacles.
5/2 seems like a fair price for this debutante with good form in the book already.
How we assess form, fitness and recent runs
When judging each selection we weigh recent runs, the level of competition and how a horse has returned from breaks or wind operations.
Seasonal reappearance form, shown ability on current ground and any clear step down in official mark are key indicators we highlight for readers.
Staking guidance, value bets and market context
We recommend modest staking: smaller units on value shots and a neutral approach on shorter-priced favourites to protect a long-term bank.
Look for early market moves and sensible each-way prices rather than chasing odds; aim to identify value relative to the official rating and formbook.
Key trainer, jockey and ground considerations
Trainer form, recent stable switches and jockey bookings can alter chances significantly and should be given weight alongside the raw form lines.
Also prioritise form on similar ground and trips, particularly at Aintree where heavy or quick conditions can change the shape of a race.
In-race tactics, pace maps and each-way tips
Assess likely leaders, horses that prefer to sit off the pace and those with proven course or fence records when planning in-running moves.
Each-way strategies work best where fields are large and the likely pace scenario plays to late-runners with form on firmer going.
Interpreting weights, conditions and official ratings
Official ratings are a helpful baseline but should be adjusted for career trends, age and proven ability in similar classes.
Consider weight drops, penalties and ground changes when a horse steps back in grade; modest ratings drops often signal better chance than raw numbers suggest.
When to consider each-way bets and odds threshold
Each-way claims are sensible when a horse is priced beyond its fair mark and the book pays four places or more in larger fields.
As a rule of thumb, consider each-way on 6/1 or bigger if the race looks competitive and the horse has course or stamina credentials.
Record-keeping, limits and responsible betting checks
Keep a simple log of bets, stakes and outcomes to learn what strategies work; set deposit limits and timeouts to stay in control.
If betting stops being fun, seek help and use tools from licensed bookmakers to manage activity; you can find support via GamCare or other UK resources.
Please remember: betting is for those aged 18 and over and should be treated as entertainment, not income. If you choose to bet, do so responsibly and within limits.
You can explore current bookmaker offers through our comparison tools if you choose to bet responsibly and would like to see available free bet offers.
For readers interested in casino promotions, our casino bonus page lists current welcome offers and terms for players aged 18 and over.
You can compare today’s betting markets and free bet offers on our bookmaker comparison page at https://bestofbets.com/free-bets to see what’s available for new customers.
For casino bonus listings and welcome offers for new players aged 18+, visit https://bestofbets.com/casino-bonus.
Frequently asked questions about today’s Aintree tips and betting
Is it safe to follow the selections on this Aintree preview?
The selections are editorial opinions for information only and not guarantees; always stake within your limits and only bet if you are 18 or over.
How should I adjust stakes for favourites and outsiders?
Consider lower stakes on short-priced favourites and increase units slightly on value-priced outsiders, but never exceed your pre-set bankroll limits.
Do ground conditions at Aintree change the recommendations?
Yes. Ground can materially affect chances, so check official going updates before betting and adjust exposure if the surface differs from the preview.
Where can I find the best bookmaker odds and promotions?
Check our bookmaker comparison page for current odds and free bet offers; always read full terms and only use regulated UK operators if you are 18+.
Should I place each-way bets in handicap hurdles and chases?
Each-way bets are worth considering in large handicaps where multiple places are paid and the horse has shown consistent form over similar trips.
What staking plan do you recommend for these tips?
Use a fixed-unit staking plan based on your bankroll size, avoid chasing losses, and set maximum daily or weekly limits to protect your funds.
How do I get help if my betting feels out of control?
If betting causes concern, seek support immediately; services like GamCare and BeGambleAware offer confidential help and tools to manage activity for those 18+.
Can these tips be used for in-play betting?
They can inform in-play decisions, but exercise caution as prices can move quickly; treat any in-play wagering as higher-risk and keep bets small.
